Early look The full preview opens on Thursday 4 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets: game preview

Puck drop7 Mar · 2:00 PM ET
VenueCanada Life Centre
All-time meetings48 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Five points apart last season

Calgary finished last season 29th in the league on 77 points. Winnipeg finished 26th on 82.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 49

Across 48 completed games, Winnipeg lead the head-to-head 25-21-2.

All-time record25-21-2Winnipeg's record in the series
Meetings played48This is number 49
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Winnipeg
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
15 Nov 2025WPG 4 – CGY 3 SO——WPG
24 Oct 2025CGY 3 – WPG 5——WPG
20 Oct 2025WPG 2 – CGY 1——WPG
26 Jan 2025CGY 2 – WPG 5——WPG
18 Jan 2025CGY 3 – WPG 1——CGY
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateCalgaryWinnipeg
20 Oct 20251-6-0 · 2 pts32nd5-1-0 · 10 pts3rd
24 Oct 20251-7-1 · 3 pts32nd6-2-0 · 12 pts6th
15 Nov 20255-12-3 · 13 pts32nd11-7-0 · 22 pts9th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 20 Oct 2025, Calgary were 32nd in the league and Winnipeg 3rd. By 15 Nov 2025 it was 32nd and 9th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Calgary out-attempted Winnipeg 198 to 169

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Calgary Flames

198 att · 100 on goal · 7 G · 7.0%
Crease14 att · 1 G
Slot86 att · 2 G
Wing72 att · 2 G
Point23 att · 2 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G

Winnipeg Jets

169 att · 82 on goal · 10 G · 12.2%
Crease25 att · 4 G
Slot60 att · 4 G
Wing53 att · 1 G
Point27 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 1 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Winnipeg have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

CalgaryWinnipeg
2.54xG for per game3.37
3.38xG against per game3.37
42.9%xG share50.0%
−4.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals−1.1
−5.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+2.1

This season: 3 games for Calgary, 3 for Winnipeg. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Calgary

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2740.0%
Power play · 2025-2616.2% · 31st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.4% · 12th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.3% · 90/179
Drawn · 2026-275 (1.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Winnipeg

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2750.0%
Power play · 2025-2618.5% · 24th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2788.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.6% · 21st
Faceoffs · 2026-2744.6% · 79/177
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
86Joel Farabee30220.67
22Ryan Strome31010.33
16Morgan Frost31010.33
81Kyle Connor33251.67
91Cole Perfetti32351.67
17Adam Lowry31231.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
19Zayne Parekh30110.33
44Joel Hanley10000.00
55Jake Middleton30000.00
44Josh Morrissey30331.00
2Dylan DeMelo31120.67
38Mario Ferraro31010.33
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 5 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 5 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Calgary crease

CGY · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 4 Mar

Dustin Wolf.7972 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx −5.5
Devin Cooley.8801 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.1

No appearances against Winnipeg in the last meetings.

Winnipeg crease

WPG · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 4 Mar

Stuart Skinner.9092 GP · 1-0-1 · GSAx +1.1
Clay Stevenson.9381 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Calgary in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 5.9 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

15 Nov 20257 · WPG 4–3 CGY
24 Oct 20258 · CGY 3–5 WPG
20 Oct 20253 · WPG 2–1 CGY
26 Jan 20257 · CGY 2–5 WPG
18 Jan 20254 · CGY 3–1 WPG

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Calgary1.005.332.593.16
Winnipeg3.002.672.823.17

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest5.9Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

5 on the injury lists

Calgary · injuries

Jonathan HuberdeauHipIRReturn10 Oct

Winnipeg · injuries

Connor HellebuyckSuspensionIRReturn17 Oct
Elias SalomonssonShoulderIRReturn15 Oct
Garrett BrownLower BodyIRReturn9 Oct
Walker DuehrLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
5 Oct · CGY

Placed D Brayden Pachal and C Connor Zary on waivers.

26 Sep · CGY

Waived F Alex Nylander.

25 Sep · CGY

Assigned Fs Andrew Basha, Will Dineen and Tyson Gross, Ds Hunter Brzustewicz and Axel Hurtig and G Arsenii Sergeev to Calgary (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Calgary Fs Dryden Hunt, Ben Jones, Rory Kerins, Sam Morton and William Stromgren and Ds Michael Benning, Andreas Englund and Jake Livingstone.

10 Aug 2026 · WPG

Signed F Tyrel Bauer to a two-year contract.

15 Jul 2026 · WPG

Signed F Cole Perfetti to a five-year contract.

13 Jul 2026 · WPG

Signed F Viggo Björck to a three-year contract.

Injury report
#6Carson CarelsRound 1 · Prince GeorgeD
#30Jack HextallRound 1 · YoungstownC
#36Chase HarringtonRound 2 · SpokaneLW
#42Tobias TrejbalRound 2 · YoungstownG
Full draft
#8Viggo BjorckRound 1 · DjurgardenC
#71Samuel HrenakRound 3 · FargoG
#116Zach WootenRound 4 · Green BayLW
#135Alexandre TailleferRound 5 · QuebecD
Full draft

Updated after every final