Early look The full preview opens on Sunday 28 February, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Tampa Bay Lightning at Los Angeles Kings: game preview

Puck drop3 Mar · 10:00 PM ET
VenueCrypto.com Arena
All-time meetings52 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Sixteen points apart last season

Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. Los Angeles finished 20th on 90.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 53

Across 52 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 35-14-3.

All-time record35-14-3Tampa Bay's record in the series
Meetings played52This is number 53
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Los Angeles
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
1 Jan 2026TBL 5 – LAK 3——TBL
18 Dec 2025LAK 2 – TBL 1——LAK
30 Jan 2025LAK 0 – TBL 3——TBL
4 Jan 2025TBL 1 – LAK 2——LAK
23 Mar 2024TBL 3 – LAK 4 OT——LAK
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTampa BayLos Angeles
18 Dec 202518-13-3 · 39 pts14th15-10-9 · 39 pts16th
1 Jan 202624-13-3 · 51 pts5th16-14-9 · 41 pts24th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 18 Dec 2025, Tampa Bay were 14th in the league and Los Angeles 16th. By 1 Jan 2026 it was 5th and 24th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Tampa Bay out-attempted Los Angeles 136 to 81

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Tampa Bay Lightning

136 att · 56 on goal · 6 G · 10.7%
Crease11 att · 5 G
Slot55 att · 1 G
Wing48 att · 0 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G

Los Angeles Kings

81 att · 40 on goal · 5 G · 12.5%
Crease5 att · 1 G
Slot31 att · 3 G
Wing22 att · 0 G
Point19 att · 1 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Los Angeles have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

Tampa BayLos Angeles
4.04xG for per game2.88
2.64xG against per game2.43
60.5%xG share54.2%
−4.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals+0.4
+0.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−7.7

This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 3 for Los Angeles. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Los Angeles

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2716.7%
Power play · 2025-2617.0% · 28th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2761.5%
Penalty kill · 2025-2674.6% · 30th
Faceoffs · 2026-2756.9% · 103/181
Drawn · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
10Artemi Panarin32131.00
56Erik Haula31231.00
14Alex Laferriere31231.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
92Brandt Clarke30220.67
8Drew Doughty30110.33
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 28 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 1 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 28 Feb

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Los Angeles in the last meetings.

Los Angeles crease

LAK · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 28 Feb

Darcy Kuemper.8252 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx −4.2
Anton Forsberg.8001 GP · 0-0-1 · GSAx −3.5

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

1 Jan 20268 · TBL 5–3 LAK
18 Dec 20253 · LAK 2–1 TBL
30 Jan 20253 · LAK 0–3 TBL
4 Jan 20253 · TBL 1–2 LAK
23 Mar 20247 · TBL 3–4 LAK

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
Los Angeles3.005.002.743.01

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings4.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec

Los Angeles · injuries

Jakub DvorakUpper BodyIRReturn31 Oct
Jan JenikUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Kevin FialaLower LegIRReturn17 Oct
6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

27 Sep · LAK

Placed D Otto Salin on the injured non-roster list. Loaned G Erik Portillo to Ontario (AHL).

24 Sep · LAK

Waived for the purpose of assignment to Abbotsford (AHL) Fs Martin Chromia, Cole Guttman, Lane Pederson and Francesco Pinelli and D Joe Hicketts. Loaned Fs Aatu Jamsen and Koehn Ziemmer, Ds Angus Booth, Kirill Kirsanov and Jared Woolley to Ontario. Placed F Jan Jenik and D Jakub Dvorak on injured reserve.

15 Jul 2026 · LAK

Signed F Elton Hermansson to a three-year, entry-level contract.

Injury report
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft
#19Elton HermanssonRound 1 · ModoRW
#46Liam LefebvreRound 2 · ChicoutimiC
#49Adam GoljerRound 2 · TrencinD
#80Blake ZielinskiRound 3 · Des MoinesC
Full draft

Updated after every final