Early look The full preview opens on Monday 4 January, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes: game preview

Puck drop7 Jan · 7:00 PM ET
VenueLenovo Center
All-time meetings113 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Fifteen points apart last season

Pittsburgh finished last season 10th in the league on 98 points. Carolina finished 2nd on 113, and the 2025-26 season series went CAR 3-1-0.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 114

Across 113 completed games, Pittsburgh lead the head-to-head 58-40-15.

All-time record58-40-15Pittsburgh's record in the series
Meetings played113This is number 114
2025-26 seriesCAR 3-1-0
Last 54-1Carolina
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
22 Mar 2026CAR 5 – PIT 1——CAR
18 Mar 2026PIT 5 – CAR 6 OT——CAR
10 Mar 2026PIT 4 – CAR 5 SO——CAR
30 Dec 2025CAR 1 – PIT 5——PIT
5 Jan 2025PIT 3 – CAR 4 OT——CAR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DatePittsburghCarolina
30 Dec 202517-12-9 · 43 pts16th24-12-3 · 51 pts4th
10 Mar 202632-17-15 · 79 pts8th41-17-6 · 88 pts3rd
18 Mar 202634-18-16 · 84 pts8th43-19-6 · 92 pts3rd
22 Mar 202635-19-16 · 86 pts9th45-19-6 · 96 pts3rd

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 30 Dec 2025, Pittsburgh were 16th in the league and Carolina 4th. By 22 Mar 2026 it was 9th and 3rd.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Carolina out-attempted Pittsburgh 298 to 229

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Pittsburgh Penguins

229 att · 110 on goal · 15 G · 13.6%
Crease19 att · 1 G
Slot110 att · 10 G
Wing66 att · 3 G
Point24 att · 1 G
Neutral zone10 att · 0 G

Carolina Hurricanes

298 att · 142 on goal · 16 G · 11.3%
Crease29 att · 1 G
Slot110 att · 8 G
Wing103 att · 4 G
Point49 att · 3 G
Neutral zone7 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Carolina have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

PittsburghCarolina
3.58xG for per game3.74
2.47xG against per game2.21
59.2%xG share62.9%
+4.3FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.0
−0.6GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−3.2

This season: 3 games for Pittsburgh, 4 for Carolina. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Pittsburgh

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2740.0%
Power play · 2025-2624.1% · 7th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.4% · 6th
Faceoffs · 2026-2745.5% · 87/191
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (2.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Carolina

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2719.0%
Power play · 2025-2624.9% · 4th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2789.5%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.5% · 11th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.1% · 125/240
Drawn · 2026-2721 (5.25/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2719 (4.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
71Evgeni Malkin32241.33
18Tommy Novak32241.33
81Ben Kindel22131.50
20Sebastian Aho44371.75
53Jackson Blake40330.75
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Declan Carlile32241.33
65Erik Karlsson30441.33
49Samuel Girard31231.00
74Jaccob Slavin40220.50
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 3 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 5 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Pittsburgh crease

PIT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 4 Jan

Arturs Silovs.8862 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx −0.5
Sergei Murashov.9121 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.5

No appearances against Carolina in the last meetings.

Carolina crease

CAR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 4 Jan

Brandon Bussi.8513 GP · 1-1-1 · GSAx −3.7
Pyotr Kochetkov.8891 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +0.5

No appearances against Pittsburgh in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.7 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

22 Mar 20266 · CAR 5–1 PIT
18 Mar 202611 · PIT 5–6 CAR
10 Mar 20269 · PIT 4–5 CAR
30 Dec 20256 · CAR 1–5 PIT
5 Jan 20257 · PIT 3–4 CAR

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Pittsburgh5.002.673.573.27
Carolina2.753.003.612.93

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.7Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

5 on the injury lists

Pittsburgh · injuries

Bryan RustUpper BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Justin BrazeauLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Ryan GravesKneeIRReturn24 Oct

Carolina · injuries

Alexander NikishinContract DisputeOutReturn10 Oct
Seth JarvisShoulderIRReturn24 Oct
3 Oct · PIT

Activated C/RW Benjamin Kindel from injured reserve. Placed C/LW David Gustafsson on waivers.

1 Oct · PIT

Assigned F Rutger McGroarty to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (AHL).

30 Sep · PIT

Reinstated C Blake Lizotte from injured reserve.

30 Sep · CAR

Placed G Cayden Primeau on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed LD Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed D Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

Injury report
#22Liam RuckRound 1 · Medicine HatRW
#39Markus RuckRound 2 · Medicine HatC
#54Tomas GalvasRound 2 · LiberecD
#86Pierce MbuyiRound 3 · Owen SoundLW
Full draft
#51William HakanssonRound 2 · LuleaD
#61Wiggo SorenssonRound 2 · Boro/vetlandaC
#68Zachary LansardRound 3 · ReginaRW
#105Michael BerchildRound 4 · Usa U-18LW
Full draft

Updated after every final