Early look The full preview opens on Wednesday 9 December, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning: game preview

Puck drop12 Dec · 3:30 PM ET
VenueBenchmark International Arena
All-time meetings131 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Eight points apart last season

Pittsburgh finished last season 10th in the league on 98 points. Tampa Bay finished 5th on 106.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 132

Across 131 completed games, Pittsburgh lead the head-to-head 69-49-13.

All-time record69-49-13Pittsburgh's record in the series
Meetings played131This is number 132
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
2 Apr 2026PIT 3 – TBL 6——TBL
13 Jan 2026TBL 2 – PIT 1 SO——TBL
4 Dec 2025PIT 4 – TBL 3——PIT
25 Mar 2025PIT 1 – TBL 6——TBL
12 Jan 2025TBL 5 – PIT 2——TBL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DatePittsburghTampa Bay
4 Dec 202514-7-5 · 33 pts7th16-9-2 · 34 pts6th
13 Jan 202621-14-10 · 52 pts16th29-13-3 · 61 pts3rd
2 Apr 202638-22-16 · 92 pts9th47-22-6 · 100 pts4th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 4 Dec 2025, Pittsburgh were 7th in the league and Tampa Bay 6th. By 2 Apr 2026 it was 9th and 4th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Tampa Bay out-attempted Pittsburgh 201 to 149

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Pittsburgh Penguins

149 att · 82 on goal · 8 G · 9.8%
Crease8 att · 1 G
Slot57 att · 6 G
Wing51 att · 1 G
Point29 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G

Tampa Bay Lightning

201 att · 104 on goal · 10 G · 9.6%
Crease19 att · 3 G
Slot88 att · 4 G
Wing60 att · 2 G
Point28 att · 1 G
Neutral zone6 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

PittsburghTampa Bay
3.58xG for per game4.04
2.47xG against per game2.64
59.2%xG share60.5%
+4.3FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.1
−0.6GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.9

This season: 3 games for Pittsburgh, 3 for Tampa Bay. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Pittsburgh

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2740.0%
Power play · 2025-2624.1% · 7th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.4% · 6th
Faceoffs · 2026-2745.5% · 87/191
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (2.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
71Evgeni Malkin32241.33
18Tommy Novak32241.33
81Ben Kindel22131.50
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Declan Carlile32241.33
65Erik Karlsson30441.33
49Samuel Girard31231.00
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 10 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 10 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Pittsburgh crease

PIT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 9 Dec

Arturs Silovs.8862 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx −0.5
Sergei Murashov.9121 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.5

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 9 Dec

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Pittsburgh in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.6 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

2 Apr 20269 · PIT 3–6 TBL
13 Jan 20263 · TBL 2–1 PIT
4 Dec 20257 · PIT 4–3 TBL
25 Mar 20257 · PIT 1–6 TBL
12 Jan 20257 · TBL 5–2 PIT

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Pittsburgh5.002.673.573.27
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.6Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Pittsburgh · injuries

Bryan RustUpper BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Justin BrazeauLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Ryan GravesKneeIRReturn24 Oct

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec
3 Oct · PIT

Activated C/RW Benjamin Kindel from injured reserve. Placed C/LW David Gustafsson on waivers.

1 Oct · PIT

Assigned F Rutger McGroarty to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (AHL).

30 Sep · PIT

Reinstated C Blake Lizotte from injured reserve.

6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

Injury report
#22Liam RuckRound 1 · Medicine HatRW
#39Markus RuckRound 2 · Medicine HatC
#54Tomas GalvasRound 2 · LiberecD
#86Pierce MbuyiRound 3 · Owen SoundLW
Full draft
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft

Updated after every final