Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets: game preview
Tampa BayLightning2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 50-26-6 · 106 pts · 5that
WinnipegJets2026-27: 2-0-1 · 5 pts · 2025-26: 35-35-12 · 82 pts · 26thTwenty-four points apart last season
Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. Winnipeg finished 26th on 82.
Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.
Meeting number 35
Across 34 completed games, Winnipeg lead the head-to-head 19-10-5.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each 2025-26 meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 29 Jan 2026, Tampa Bay were 2nd in the league and Winnipeg 30th. By 5 Mar 2026 it was 2nd and 30th.
Tampa Bay out-attempted Winnipeg 120 to 109
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Winnipeg Jets
Tampa Bay have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 3 for Winnipeg. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Tampa Bay, 10 for Winnipeg.
2025-26: 82 games for Tampa Bay, 82 for Winnipeg.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Tampa Bay
Small sampleWinnipeg
Small sampleSkaters to watch
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.
Who has stopped this matchup
Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.
Tampa Bay crease
TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 5 Nov
No appearances against Winnipeg in the last meetings.
Winnipeg crease
WPG · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 5 Nov
No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.
Scoring rates point to about 6.0 goals
No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.
Scoring rates
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
Winnipeg3.002.672.823.17Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
7 on the injury lists
Tampa Bay · injuries
Winnipeg · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.
Signed F Tyrel Bauer to a two-year contract.
Signed F Cole Perfetti to a five-year contract.
Signed F Viggo Björck to a three-year contract.
Tampa Bay · 2026 draft
See all: Tampa Bay · 2026 draft →Winnipeg · 2026 draft
See all: Winnipeg · 2026 draft →
Updated after every final