Early look The full preview opens on Saturday 31 October, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning: game preview

Puck drop3 Nov · 7:00 PM ET
VenueBenchmark International Arena
All-time meetings100 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Fourteen points apart last season

Detroit finished last season 16th in the league on 92 points. Tampa Bay finished 5th on 106, and the 2025-26 season series went TBL 3-0-1.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 101

Across 100 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 52-41-7.

All-time record52-41-7Tampa Bay's record in the series
Meetings played100This is number 101
2025-26 seriesTBL 3-0-1
Last 53-2Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
13 Apr 2026DET 3 – TBL 4 OT——TBL
12 Mar 2026DET 1 – TBL 4——TBL
28 Nov 2025TBL 6 – DET 3——TBL
17 Oct 2025TBL 1 – DET 2 OT——DET
11 Apr 2025DET 4 – TBL 3 OT——DET
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateDetroitTampa Bay
17 Oct 20254-1-0 · 8 pts4th1-2-2 · 4 pts25th
28 Nov 202513-11-1 · 27 pts19th15-7-2 · 32 pts4th
12 Mar 202636-23-7 · 79 pts10th40-20-4 · 84 pts6th
13 Apr 202641-30-10 · 92 pts14th50-25-6 · 106 pts5th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 17 Oct 2025, Detroit were 4th in the league and Tampa Bay 25th. By 13 Apr 2026 it was 14th and 5th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Tampa Bay out-attempted Detroit 248 to 228

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Detroit Red Wings

228 att · 123 on goal · 9 G · 7.3%
Crease19 att · 2 G
Slot80 att · 4 G
Wing83 att · 2 G
Point40 att · 1 G
Neutral zone6 att · 0 G

Tampa Bay Lightning

248 att · 110 on goal · 15 G · 13.6%
Crease18 att · 3 G
Slot96 att · 7 G
Wing94 att · 3 G
Point37 att · 1 G
Neutral zone3 att · 1 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Detroit and Tampa Bay are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

DetroitTampa Bay
3.23xG for per game4.04
2.85xG against per game2.64
53.1%xG share60.5%
−2.7FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.1
+0.6GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.9

This season: 3 games for Detroit, 3 for Tampa Bay. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Detroit

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2622.6% · 12th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2761.5%
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.1% · 23rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2753.6% · 97/181
Drawn · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
93Alex DeBrincat32241.33
23Lucas Raymond30331.00
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Justin Faulk31120.67
53Moritz Seider30110.33
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 2 Nov: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 31 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Detroit crease

DET · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 31 Oct

John Gibson.9033 GP · 1-2-0 · GSAx +0.4

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 31 Oct

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Detroit in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.0 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

13 Apr 20267 · DET 3–4 TBL
12 Mar 20265 · DET 1–4 TBL
28 Nov 20259 · TBL 6–3 DET
17 Oct 20253 · TBL 1–2 DET
11 Apr 20257 · DET 4–3 TBL

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Detroit2.332.672.943.15
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.0Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.2Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

10 on the injury lists

Detroit · injuries

Carter BearUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Chase StillmanUndisclosedIRReturn9 Oct
J.T. CompherUndisclosedOutReturn9 Oct
Jacob Bernard-DockerUpper BodyIRReturn9 Oct
Marco KasperUpper BodyIRReturn20 Oct
Mason AppletonUndisclosedIRReturn13 Oct
Simon EdvinssonContract DisputeOutReturn10 Oct

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec
2 Oct · DET

Placed F Dylan Larkin on the non-roster injured reserve.

25 Sep · DET

Assigned Fs Ondrej Becher, Cameron Butler, Sheldon Dries, Noah Dower Nilsson, Dylan James, Jesse Kiiskinen, John Leonard, Sutter Muzzatti, Theo Rochette, Dominik Shine and Wilmer Skoog, Ds Ronnie Attard, Jacob Bryson, Shai Buium and William Lagesson and Gs Trey Augustine and Michal Postava to Grand Rapids (AHL).

20 Aug 2026 · DET

Acquired F Sutter Muzzatti from Nashville Predators for future considerations.

6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

Injury report
#23Jeffrey (JP) HurlbertRound 1 · KamloopsLW
#47Victor PlanteRound 2 · Usa U-18LW
#79Michal OrsulakRound 3 · Prince AlbertG
#108Adam LevacRound 4 · PeterboroughC
Full draft
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft

Updated after every final