‹MON OCT 26›
3 games
Early look The full preview opens on Friday 23 October, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames: game preview

Puck drop26 Oct · 8:30 PM ET
VenueScotiabank Saddledome
All-time meetings122 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

One points apart last season

Toronto finished last season 28th in the league on 78 points. Calgary finished 29th on 77.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 123

Across 122 completed games, Toronto lead the head-to-head 63-48-11.

All-time record63-48-11Toronto's record in the series
Meetings played122This is number 123
2025-26 series—
Last 55-0Toronto
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
2 Feb 2026TOR 4 – CGY 2——TOR
28 Oct 2025CGY 3 – TOR 4——TOR
17 Mar 2025CGY 2 – TOR 6——TOR
4 Feb 2025TOR 6 – CGY 3——TOR
18 Jan 2024TOR 4 – CGY 3——TOR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTorontoCalgary
28 Oct 20255-4-1 · 11 pts18th2-8-1 · 5 pts32nd
2 Feb 202624-19-9 · 57 pts18th21-25-6 · 48 pts29th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 28 Oct 2025, Toronto were 18th in the league and Calgary 32nd. By 2 Feb 2026 it was 18th and 29th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Calgary out-attempted Toronto 125 to 114

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Toronto Maple Leafs

114 att · 59 on goal · 8 G · 13.6%
Crease10 att · 3 G
Slot40 att · 4 G
Wing42 att · 1 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G

Calgary Flames

125 att · 59 on goal · 5 G · 8.5%
Crease14 att · 2 G
Slot42 att · 3 G
Wing51 att · 0 G
Point15 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Toronto and Calgary are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

TorontoCalgary
3.40xG for per game2.54
3.21xG against per game3.38
51.4%xG share42.9%
−2.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.6
+1.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−5.9

This season: 4 games for Toronto, 3 for Calgary. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Toronto

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2721.4%
Power play · 2025-2621.3% · 15th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.2% · 8th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.1% · 113/221
Drawn · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Calgary

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2740.0%
Power play · 2025-2616.2% · 31st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.4% · 12th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.3% · 90/179
Drawn · 2026-275 (1.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
34Auston Matthews42351.25
91John Tavares41230.75
86Joel Farabee30220.67
22Ryan Strome31010.33
16Morgan Frost31010.33
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
44Morgan Rielly40330.75
43Darren Raddysh40110.25
19Zayne Parekh30110.33
44Joel Hanley10000.00
55Jake Middleton30000.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 24 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 24 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Toronto crease

TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 23 Oct

Sergei Bobrovsky.8872 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx +0.1
Anthony Stolarz.9042 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.6

No appearances against Calgary in the last meetings.

Calgary crease

CGY · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 23 Oct

Dustin Wolf.7972 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx −5.5
Devin Cooley.8801 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.1

No appearances against Toronto in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

2 Feb 20266 · TOR 4–2 CGY
28 Oct 20257 · CGY 3–4 TOR
17 Mar 20258 · CGY 2–6 TOR
4 Feb 20259 · TOR 6–3 CGY
18 Jan 20247 · TOR 4–3 CGY

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Toronto2.752.753.093.65
Calgary1.005.332.593.16

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.2Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.4Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Toronto · injuries

Cade WebberElbowIRReturn31 Oct
Dakota JoshuaAbdomenIRReturn24 Oct
Elvis MerzlikinsShoulderIRReturn30 Mar
Max DomiBackIRReturn21 Nov
William VilleneuveKneeIRReturn31 Oct

Calgary · injuries

Jonathan HuberdeauHipIRReturn10 Oct
5 Oct · TOR

Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.

30 Sep · TOR

Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

29 Sep · TOR

Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.

5 Oct · CGY

Placed D Brayden Pachal and C Connor Zary on waivers.

26 Sep · CGY

Waived F Alex Nylander.

25 Sep · CGY

Assigned Fs Andrew Basha, Will Dineen and Tyson Gross, Ds Hunter Brzustewicz and Axel Hurtig and G Arsenii Sergeev to Calgary (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Calgary Fs Dryden Hunt, Ben Jones, Rory Kerins, Sam Morton and William Stromgren and Ds Michael Benning, Andreas Englund and Jake Livingstone.

Injury report
#1Gavin McKennaRound 1 · Penn StateLW
#60Alexander BileckiRound 2 · KitchenerD
#69Ethan MacKenzieRound 3 · EdmontonD
#73Zach OlsenRound 3 · SaskatoonRW
Full draft
#6Carson CarelsRound 1 · Prince GeorgeD
#30Jack HextallRound 1 · YoungstownC
#36Chase HarringtonRound 2 · SpokaneLW
#42Tobias TrejbalRound 2 · YoungstownG
Full draft

Updated after every final