Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche: game preview
Tampa BayLightning2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 50-26-6 · 106 pts · 5that
ColoradoAvalanche2026-27: 2-0-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 55-16-11 · 121 pts · 1stFifteen points apart last season
Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. Colorado finished 1st on 121.
Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.
Meeting number 55
Across 54 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 27-19-8.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each 2025-26 meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 4 Nov 2025, Tampa Bay were 20th in the league and Colorado 1st. By 6 Jan 2026 it was 4th and 1st.
Colorado out-attempted Tampa Bay 127 to 127
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 2 for Colorado. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Tampa Bay, 10 for Colorado.
2025-26: 82 games for Tampa Bay, 82 for Colorado.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Tampa Bay
Small sampleColorado
Small sampleSkaters to watch
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.
Who has stopped this matchup
Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.
Tampa Bay crease
TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 20 Oct
No appearances against Colorado in the last meetings.
Colorado crease
COL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 20 Oct
No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.
Scoring rates point to about 6.3 goals
No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.
Scoring rates
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
Colorado7.002.503.682.48Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
7 on the injury lists
Tampa Bay · injuries
Colorado · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.
Placed LD Keaton Middleton, LD Wyatt Aamodt, RW/LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and LW Tristen Nielsen on waivers.
Placed D Keaton Middleton, D Wyatt Aamodt, LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and G Mads Sogaard Nielsen on waivers.
Reassigned Ds Domenick Fensore, Saige Weinstein and Christian Wolanin to Colorado (AHL).
Tampa Bay · 2026 draft
See all: Tampa Bay · 2026 draft →Colorado · 2026 draft
See all: Colorado · 2026 draft →Friday 23 October · the full slate
See all: Friday 23 October · the full slate →
Updated after every final