Game preview · NHL 2026-27

Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes: game preview

Puck drop8 Oct · 7:00 PM ET
VenueLenovo Center
All-time meetings41 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Fifty-five points apart last season

Vancouver finished last season 32nd in the league on 58 points. Carolina finished 2nd on 113, and the 2025-26 season series went CAR 2-0-0.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 42

Across 41 completed games, Vancouver lead the head-to-head 24-14-3.

All-time record24-14-3Vancouver's record in the series
Meetings played41This is number 42
2025-26 seriesCAR 2-0-0
Last 54-1Carolina
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
4 Mar 2026CAR 6 – VAN 433–22CAR 2/3 · VAN 2/4CAR
14 Nov 2025VAN 3 – CAR 4 OT17–38VAN 1/2 · CAR 1/2CAR
10 Jan 2025VAN 0 – CAR 214–20VAN 0/3 · CAR 0/3CAR
28 Oct 2024CAR 4 – VAN 3 OT32–27CAR 0/3 · VAN 0/3CAR
6 Feb 2024VAN 3 – CAR 219–24VAN 2/3 · CAR 1/2VAN
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateVancouverCarolina
14 Nov 20258-9-2 · 18 pts27th12-5-0 · 24 pts4th
4 Mar 202617-30-5 · 39 pts32nd32-15-5 · 69 pts3rd

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 14 Nov 2025, Vancouver were 27th in the league and Carolina 4th. By 4 Mar 2026 it was 32nd and 3rd.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Carolina out-attempted Vancouver 326 to 230

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Vancouver Canucks

230 att · 99 on goal · 13 G · 13.1%
Crease15 att · 1 G
Slot86 att · 8 G
Wing79 att · 3 G
Point39 att · 1 G
Neutral zone11 att · 0 G

Carolina Hurricanes

326 att · 147 on goal · 18 G · 12.2%
Crease27 att · 1 G
Slot121 att · 10 G
Wing120 att · 7 G
Point49 att · 0 G
Neutral zone9 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Carolina have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

VancouverCarolina
2.44xG for per game3.74
3.15xG against per game2.21
43.6%xG share62.9%
+9.2FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.0
−5.4GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−3.2

This season: 4 games for Vancouver, 4 for Carolina. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Vancouver

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2723.1%
Power play · 2025-2621.8% · 14th
Power play · last 5 meetings5/15 · 33.3%
Penalty kill · 2026-2768.8%
Penalty kill · 2025-2671.5% · 32nd
Faceoffs · 2026-2749.3% · 112/227
Drawn · 2026-2713 (3.25/gm)
Drawn · last meetings15 (3.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2716 (4.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings5

Carolina

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2719.0%
Power play · 2025-2624.9% · 4th
Power play · last 5 meetings4/13 · 30.8%
Penalty kill · 2026-2789.5%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.5% · 11th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.1% · 125/240
Drawn · 2026-2721 (5.25/gm)
Drawn · last meetings13 (2.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2719 (4.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings4

Skaters

Andrei Svechnikov has 7 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
47Paul Cotter44261.50
23Marco Rossi43141.00
20Sebastian Aho44371.75
53Jackson Blake40330.75
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
17Filip Hronek40551.25
5Tom Willander40330.75
74Jaccob Slavin40220.50
Defencemen stats

Andrei Svechnikov vs Vancouver · game by game

See all: Andrei Svechnikov vs Vancouver · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
4 Mar 2026away112218:07
14 Nov 2025home213219:10
10 Jan 2025home101319:06
28 Oct 2024away011217:39
Last 5 meetings7 P4 G, 3 A · 9 SOG
Next best6 PSebastian Aho, CAR
2026-27 season4 P4 GP · 1 G
Blank vs VAN0 of 4A point in every meeting
Full game log

Goaltending

Kevin Lankinen has been the difference

Kevin Lankinen faced 92 shots across 3 appearances against Carolina and conceded 12, a .870 save percentage against a season figure of .824. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
Expected starter#31 Leevi Meriläinen
  • .958 save percentage over his last three starts

2026-27: 2 GP · .943 SV% · GSAx +1

Also possible: Lankinen 43%

Injured: Demko (injured reserve)

Expected starter#32 Brandon Bussi
  • Started 3 of 4 this season
  • 41 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 3 GP · .851 SV% · GSAx −4

Also possible: Kochetkov 42%

VAN · 1-2-0 in 2026-27 Chance to start · 43%

SV% · 2026-27.8243 GP · 6.50 GAA · 2025-26 .875
vs Carolina.8703 app · 92 SA · 12 GA
GSAx · 2026-27−6.43 starts · most on the roster
vs CARVenueSAGASV%
4 Mar 2026home224.818
14 Nov 2025away384.895
28 Oct 2024home324.875

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Leevi Meriläinen .943 (2 GP)

Full game log

CAR · 1-0-0 in 2026-27 Chance to start · 42%

SV% · 2026-27.8891 GP · 1.91 GAA · 2025-26 .899
vs Vancouver.8573 app · 63 SA · 9 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+0.51 start
vs VANVenueSAGASV%
14 Nov 2025home173.824
28 Oct 2024away273.889
6 Feb 2024home193.842

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Brandon Bussi .851 (3 GP)

Full game log

Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.7 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

4 Mar 202610 · CAR 6–4 VAN
14 Nov 20257 · VAN 3–4 CAR
10 Jan 20252 · VAN 0–2 CAR
28 Oct 20247 · CAR 4–3 VAN
6 Feb 20245 · VAN 3–2 CAR

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Vancouver4.754.502.633.85
Carolina2.753.003.612.93

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.7Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.2Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

7 on the injury lists

Vancouver · injuries

Akil ThomasUndisclosedIRReturn11 Oct
Filip ChytilShoulderIRReturn8 Oct
Jack ThompsonUndisclosedIRReturn11 Oct
Mackenzie MacEachernUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Thatcher DemkoHipIRReturn21 Dec

Carolina · injuries

Alexander NikishinContract DisputeOutReturn10 Oct
Seth JarvisShoulderIRReturn24 Oct
27 Sep · VAN

Placed G Nikita Tolopilo on waivers.

25 Sep · VAN

Claimed G Leevi Merilainen off waivers from Ottawa. Placed F Filip Chytil on injured reserve. Assigned F Braeden Cootes to Abbotsford (AHL).

24 Sep · VAN

Assigned Fs Ty Mueller, Riley Patterson, Ilya Safonov and Chase Wouters, Ds Kirill Kudryavtsev and Sawyer Mynio to Abbotsford (AHL). Loaned F Ben Berard and D Isaac Belliveau to Abbotsford. Waived for the purpose of assignment to Abbotsford F Trey Fix-Wolansky and Ds Cole Clayton and Jimmy Schuldt.

30 Sep · CAR

Placed G Cayden Primeau on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed LD Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed D Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

Injury report
#3Caleb MalhotraRound 1 · BrantfordC
#24Adam NovotnyRound 1 · PeterboroughLW
#33Brooks RogowskiRound 2 · OshawaC
#41Niklas Aaram-OlsenRound 2 · Orebro Jr.LW
Full draft
#51William HakanssonRound 2 · LuleaD
#61Wiggo SorenssonRound 2 · Boro/vetlandaC
#68Zachary LansardRound 3 · ReginaRW
#105Michael BerchildRound 4 · Usa U-18LW
Full draft

Updated after every final