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‹THU OCT 1›
8 games, finals
THUOCT 1
FINAL/OT
PHI2
NJD3
FINAL
TBL1
NYR5
FINAL
BUF3
CBJ6
FINAL
MIN3
NSH1
FINAL
SEA6
CGY1
FINAL
CHI0
UTA6
FINAL
EDM9
VAN7
FINAL/OT
FLA3
SJS4
RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Thursday 1 October · SAP Center at San Jose · Meeting No. 50
FINAL/OTWinner at 03:14 of overtime
By period
123OTT
Florida01203
San Jose12014
Pre-game favouriteFLA 57.5%Lost
First starW. Smith2 G · 1 A
Game stats
26Shots32
3.7Expected goals3.0
1/5Power play1/4
41Hits24
12Blocks21
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

Cagnoni ends it in overtime as San Jose beat Florida 4-3

San Jose out-shot Florida 32-26. The pre-game price had FLA at 57.5%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 1 Oct

1st period: M. Marchment (SJS). 2nd period: W. Smith (SJS), W. Smith (SJS), E. Luostarinen (FLA). 3rd period: E. Luostarinen (FLA), M. Tkachuk (FLA). Overtime: L. Cagnoni (SJS).

Will Smith led San Jose with 2 goals and 1 assist. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 23 of 26 shots. On expected goals it was San Jose 3.0, Florida 3.7. The chances favoured the side that lost. On the power play San Jose went 1 for 4 and Florida 1 for 5.

Shots32-26San Jose first
Power play1/4San Jose
Lead changes0
DecidedOvertimeWinner at 03:14

How it turned

1st period
14:20Mason Marchment (goal 1)UnassistedEV0-1
2nd period
05:52Will Smith (goal 1)Assists: M. CelebriniSH0-2
10:37Will Smith (goal 2)Assists: M. Celebrini, L. CagnoniPP0-3
17:10Eetu Luostarinen (goal 1)Assists: L. Eller, A. EkbladPP1-3
3rd period
05:01Eetu Luostarinen (goal 2)Assists: D. Kulikov, A. LundellEV2-3
05:18Matthew Tkachuk (goal 1)Assists: S. BennettEV3-3
Overtime
03:14Luca Cagnoni (goal 1)Assists: W. Smith, M. CelebriniOT · GWG3-4

Where the goals came from

Florida attacking leftSan Jose attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

Florida 3.70 xGSan Jose 3.00 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
00.511.522.533.542nd3rdOT1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The upset

Market, pre-game57.5% FLAMissed
Last season's table54.7% SJSCalled it
Total goals7Over 6.5
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

Florida host Minnesota on Saturday 10 October. San Jose visit St. Louis on Thursday 8 October.

Florida PanthersSan Jose Sharks
Full game data

Box score

San Jose

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
2Will Smith2133+20.0%20:09
71Macklin Celebrini0337+150.0%22:57
42Luca Cagnoni1123+1—21:17
27Mason Marchment10140—12:44
65Jacob Trouba00020—22:35
21Alexander Wennberg0003+155.6%21:44
5Nolan Allan0001+1—20:44
7Michael Kesselring00010—19:46
9Dmitry Orlov0001−1—17:55
25Darnell Nurse00000—17:07
51Collin Graf0000025.0%16:48
23Barclay Goodrow000000.0%14:09
44Kiefer Sherwood00010—14:01
41Ivar Stenberg00000100.0%13:35
92Igor Chernyshov0001−1—12:13
77Michael Misa0004−145.5%11:34
63Zack Ostapchuk000000.0%11:29
73Tyler Toffoli0001−10.0%9:24

Florida

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
27Eetu Luostarinen202300.0%16:28
19Matthew Tkachuk10120—22:47
5Aaron Ekblad0110−1—21:33
9Sam Bennett0111050.0%20:49
15Anton Lundell0113−168.8%20:43
7Dmitry Kulikov0110+1—17:28
20Lars Eller0112053.3%14:57
3Seth Jones0002−1—27:43
13Sam Reinhart0002040.0%23:33
77Niko Mikkola00020—22:42
8Brady Tkachuk0004−2100.0%19:37
23Carter Verhaeghe000000.0%17:14
6Radko Gudas0001+1—13:31
26Uvis Balinskis00010—12:52
95Sandis Vilmanis00020—12:19
16Aleksander Barkov0001050.0%9:15
21Garnet Hathaway00000—6:03
14Bokondji Imama00000—5:16
Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
San Jose to winMoneyline43¢44¢42¢100¢
Florida to winMoneyline57¢57¢58¢0¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Before the game · as published 1 Oct, 7:41 PM ET
Head-to-headMeeting number 50
Head-to-head

Meeting number 50

Across 49 completed games, Florida lead the head-to-head 28-15-6.

All-time record28-15-6Florida's record in the series
Meetings played49This is number 50
2025-26 seriesSJS 2-0-0
Last 53-2Florida

Last 5 meetings

DateResultShotsPower playWinner
19 Jan 2026SJS 4 – FLA 128–36SJS 0/3 · FLA 0/3SJS
8 Nov 2025FLA 1 – SJS 339–23FLA 0/5 · SJS 0/2SJS
25 Jan 2025FLA 7 – SJS 232–23FLA 1/2 · SJS 0/1FLA
7 Dec 2024SJS 1 – FLA 329–54SJS 1/8 · FLA 1/5FLA
14 Nov 2023FLA 5 – SJS 331–22FLA 2/3 · SJS 1/3FLA
Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled.

Florida

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5%
Power play · last 5 meetings22.2%
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.0%
Drawn · 2026-277 (7.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings18 (3.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (6.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings4

San Jose

Power play · 2025-2621.2%
Power play · last 5 meetings11.8%
Penalty kill · 2025-2676.4%
Drawn · 2025-26255 (3.11/gm)
Drawn · last meetings17 (3.40/gm)
Shorthanded · 2025-26246 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings2
Goaltending and injuriesWho has stopped this matchup
Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Florida crease

vs SJSAppsSAGASV%
Sergei Bobrovsky3796.924
Daniil Tarasov1222.909
Anthony Stolarz1223.864

2026-27: Jacob Markstrom 1.000 (1 GP)

San Jose crease

vs FLAAppsSAGASV%
Alex Nedeljkovic1361.972
Yaroslav Askarov2564.929
A. Georgiev1154.733
Mackenzie Blackwood2847.917
Team news

9 on the injury lists

Florida · injuries

Brad MarchandLower BodyIRReturn25 Oct
Jonah GadjovichUpper BodyIRReturn17 Oct
MacKenzie EntwistleUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct

San Jose · injuries

Adam GaudetteUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Alex Barre-BouletUndisclosedIRReturn5 Oct
Cam LundUpper BodyIRReturn19 Oct
Kyle KeyserUpper BodyIRReturn1 Dec
Patrick GilesUpper BodyIRReturn3 Oct
Quentin MustyUpper BodyIRReturn1 Dec

Latest moves

27 Sep · FLA

Placed RW/C Cole Schwindt, RD Alexander Petrovic, LD Donovan Sebrango, LW Kai Schwindt, LW Cole Reinhardt, RW Sam Lafferty and C/LW John Beecher on waivers. Agreed to terms with RW Nathan Bastian on a 1-year, two-way contract.

26 Sep · FLA

Waived LW Angus Crookshank, Ds Tobias Bjornfot and Casey Fitzgerald.

20 Sep · FLA

Agreed to terms with C/LW Samu Salminen on a 2-year, $1.96M contract.

27 Sep · SJS

Placed G Ilya Samsonov on waivers.

23 Sep · SJS

Placed RW Ethan Cardwell, D Libor Hajek and LW Tye Felhaber on waivers.

31 Jul · SJS

Signed F Collin Graf to a three-year contract.

Thursday 1 October · the full slate

Scores →
7:00 PM ETPHI at NJD7:00 PM ETTBL at NYR7:00 PM ETBUF at CBJ8:00 PM ETMIN at NSH9:00 PM ETSEA at CGY9:30 PM ETCHI at UTA10:00 PM ETEDM at VAN10:00 PM ETFLA at SJSThis
Shots, skaters, totals and marketsFlorida out-attempted San Jose 376 to 241
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Florida out-attempted San Jose 376 to 241

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Florida Panthers

376 att · 192 on goal · 17 G · 8.9%
Crease29 att · 5 G
Slot140 att · 7 G
Wing137 att · 3 G
Point61 att · 2 G
Neutral zone9 att · 0 G

San Jose Sharks

241 att · 125 on goal · 13 G · 10.4%
Crease23 att · 2 G
Slot91 att · 10 G
Wing74 att · 1 G
Point43 att · 0 G
Neutral zone10 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

Matthew Tkachuk has 7 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

In the last meetings

PlayerGPGAPSOG
Matthew Tkachuk434716
Aleksander Barkov323512
Sam Reinhart522416
Will Smith32246
Carter Verhaeghe513415
Aaron Ekblad41238
Mikael Granlund30335
Sam Bennett511215
A.J. Greer411210
Eetu Luostarinen511210

Season leaders

PlayerGPGPP/GP
Gustav Forsling1111.00
Carter Verhaeghe1011.00
Lars Eller1000.00
Dmitry Kulikov1000.00
Radko Gudas1000.00
Totals

A total in line with recent meetings

The board sits at 6.5. The last 5 meetings averaged 6.0 goals and went over 6.5 2 times.

line 6.5
012345678910
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg6.0Goals per game
Over 6.52 of 5
Books at the line9Posting 6.5
Lowest4 goals
Prediction markets

Florida favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 9 books
Florida59¢60¢57.5%
San Jose44¢44¢42.5%
Canada · 2 books
Florida59¢59¢56.6%
San Jose46¢46¢43.4%

Snapshot 1 Oct, 4:54 PM ET

Lines on the board

Total 6.59 books
Puck line FLA -1.59 books
Puck line SJS +1.59 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Updated after every final · Closing 1 Oct, 4:54 PM ET