Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs: game preview
OttawaSenators2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 44-27-11 · 99 pts · 9that
TorontoMaple Leafs2026-27: 2-2-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 32-36-14 · 78 pts · 28thTwenty-one points apart last season
Ottawa finished last season 9th in the league on 99 points. Toronto finished 28th on 78, and the 2025-26 season series went OTT 3-1-0.
Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.
Meeting number 189
Across 188 completed games, Ottawa lead the head-to-head 94-72-21.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 27 Dec 2025, Ottawa were 18th in the league and Toronto 22nd. By 3 Oct it was 14th and 25th.
Ottawa out-attempted Toronto 334 to 236
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Ottawa Senators
Toronto Maple Leafs
Ottawa have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 3 games for Ottawa, 4 for Toronto. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Ottawa, 10 for Toronto.
2025-26: 82 games for Ottawa, 82 for Toronto.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Ottawa
Small sampleToronto
Small sampleClaude Giroux has 7 points in the last 5 meetings
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.
Claude Giroux vs Toronto · game by game
See all: Claude Giroux vs Toronto · game by game →Linus Ullmark has started most of these meetings
Linus Ullmark played 4 of the last 5 meetings with Toronto, with a .875 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.
Linus Ullmark
See all: Linus Ullmark →OTT · 2-0-0 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 24 Mar
Also on the roster, 2026-27: Samuel Ersson .886 (2 GP)
Full game logToronto crease
TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 24 Mar
Two goalies used against Ottawa
Scoring rates point to about 6.4 goals
No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.
Scoring rates
Ottawa3.332.673.393.00
Toronto2.752.753.093.65Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
11 on the injury lists
Ottawa · injuries
Toronto · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Recalled G Marcus Johansson from Belleville (AHL). Assigned D Donovan Sebrango to Belleville.
Recalled D Donovan Sebrango from Belleville (AHL). Placed LW Andre Burakovsky on injured reserve.
Loaned D Hoyt Stanley to Belleville (AHL).
Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.
Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.
Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.
Ottawa · 2026 draft
See all: Ottawa · 2026 draft →Toronto · 2026 draft
See all: Toronto · 2026 draft →Saturday 27 March · the full slate
See all: Saturday 27 March · the full slate →
SEAat
MIN3:30 PM ET
LAKat
EDM4:00 PM ET
ANAat
VAN6:00 PM ET
PHIat
FLA7:00 PM ETOTTatTORThis game7:00 PM ET
NJDat
MTL7:00 PM ET
NYRat
TBL7:00 PM ET
CARat
PIT7:00 PM ET
STLat
CBJ7:00 PM ET
WPGat
COL7:30 PM ET
DETat
NYI8:00 PM ET
NSHat
DAL10:00 PM ET
VGKat
CGYUpdated after every final