Early look The full preview opens on Monday 15 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Washington Capitals at Buffalo Sabres: game preview

Puck drop18 Mar · 7:30 PM ET
VenueKeyBank Center
All-time meetings196 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Fourteen points apart last season

Washington finished last season 12th in the league on 95 points. Buffalo finished 4th on 109.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 197

Across 196 completed games, Buffalo lead the head-to-head 112-66-18.

All-time record112-66-18Buffalo's record in the series
Meetings played196This is number 197
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Buffalo
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
4 Apr 2026BUF 2 – WSH 6——WSH
12 Mar 2026WSH 2 – BUF 1——WSH
1 Nov 2025WSH 3 – BUF 4 SO——BUF
30 Mar 2025BUF 8 – WSH 5——BUF
6 Jan 2025WSH 3 – BUF 4 SO——BUF
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateWashingtonBuffalo
1 Nov 20256-5-1 · 13 pts20th5-4-3 · 13 pts24th
12 Mar 202633-27-7 · 73 pts18th40-20-6 · 86 pts5th
4 Apr 202639-29-9 · 87 pts15th46-23-8 · 100 pts6th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 1 Nov 2025, Washington were 20th in the league and Buffalo 24th. By 4 Apr 2026 it was 15th and 6th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Buffalo out-attempted Washington 181 to 172

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Washington Capitals

172 att · 84 on goal · 11 G · 13.1%
Crease9 att · 1 G
Slot59 att · 6 G
Wing68 att · 4 G
Point29 att · 0 G
Neutral zone7 att · 0 G

Buffalo Sabres

181 att · 93 on goal · 6 G · 6.5%
Crease12 att · 1 G
Slot66 att · 5 G
Wing77 att · 0 G
Point24 att · 0 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Buffalo have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

WashingtonBuffalo
2.48xG for per game3.53
4.09xG against per game2.17
37.7%xG share62.0%
+1.0FinishingGoals minus expected goals−0.6
+3.2GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−4.5

This season: 2 games for Washington, 3 for Buffalo. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Washington

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2617.8% · 25th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2788.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.1% · 14th
Faceoffs · 2026-2746.4% · 51/110
Drawn · 2026-274 (2.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (4.50/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Buffalo

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 21st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.9% · 4th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.6% · 91/180
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
89Alex Tuch22021.00
17Dylan Strome20221.00
72Tage Thompson32241.33
86Noah Ostlund31231.00
22Jack Quinn32020.67
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
44Cole Hutson21010.50
3Matt Roy20000.00
25Owen Power31451.67
26Rasmus Dahlin31120.67
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 17 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 15 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Washington crease

WSH · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 15 Mar

Charlie Lindgren.9311 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx +1.4
Logan Thompson.9391 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +2.0

No appearances against Buffalo in the last meetings.

Buffalo crease

BUF · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 15 Mar

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.7842 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx −3.7
Colten Ellis.9001 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx −0.2

No appearances against Washington in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.3 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

4 Apr 20268 · BUF 2–6 WSH
12 Mar 20263 · WSH 2–1 BUF
1 Nov 20257 · WSH 3–4 BUF
30 Mar 202513 · BUF 8–5 WSH
6 Jan 20257 · WSH 3–4 BUF

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Washington3.002.503.212.98
Buffalo3.333.673.512.94

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.3Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

9 on the injury lists

Washington · injuries

Matt RoyLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn7 Oct
Patrick ThomasUpper BodyIRReturn24 Oct
Rasmus SandinKneeIRReturn26 Dec

Buffalo · injuries

Alex LyonUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Conor TimminsLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jack RathboneUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Jason ZuckerAbdomenIRReturn15 Oct
Josh DoanLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Topias LeinonenLower BodyIRReturn10 Oct
27 Sep · WSH

Placed G Clay Stevenson, D Louie Belpedio, C Mike Brodzinski and RW Spencer Smallman on waivers. Released G Cal Petersen and D Jonathan McDonald from their professional tryout agreements. Assigned LW Maxim Schäfer to Cape Breton (QMJHL).

27 Sep · WSH

Placed G Clay Stevenson, D Louie Belpedio, C Mike Brodzinski and RW Spencer Smallman on waivers. Released G Cal Petersen from his professional tryout agreement.

26 Sep · WSH

Placed D Justin Holl on waivers for the purpose of being loaned to Hershey (AHL).

2 Oct · BUF

Loaned D Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL).

1 Oct · BUF

Recalled D Dennis Gilbert from Rochester (AHL). Placed G Alex Lyon and D Olen Zellweger on injured reserve. Signed D Louis Crevier to a four-year contract. Transferred F Matthew Savoie to long-term injured reserve.

14 Sep · BUF

Signed C Noah Östlund to an eight-year contract.

Injury report
#18Oliver SuvantoRound 1 · TapparaC
#101Tyus SparksRound 4 · SpokaneC
#144Brian McFaddenRound 5 · Thayer AcademyD
#208Logan StuartRound 7 · Usa U-18C
Full draft
#4Daxon RudolphRound 1 · Prince AlbertD
#20Ilia MorozovRound 1 · MiamiC
#124Olivers MurnieksRound 4 · Saint JohnC
#156Doman SzongothRound 5 · Kookoo Jr.C
Full draft

Updated after every final