Early look The full preview opens on Friday 12 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres: game preview

Puck drop15 Mar · 7:00 PM ET
VenueKeyBank Center
All-time meetings55 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twenty-three points apart last season

San Jose finished last season 24th in the league on 86 points. Buffalo finished 4th on 109.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 56

Across 55 completed games, Buffalo lead the head-to-head 39-14-2.

All-time record39-14-2Buffalo's record in the series
Meetings played55This is number 56
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Buffalo
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
19 Mar 2026BUF 5 – SJS 0——BUF
10 Mar 2026SJS 3 – BUF 6——BUF
4 Mar 2025SJS 6 – BUF 2——SJS
23 Nov 2024BUF 4 – SJS 2——BUF
27 Jan 2024BUF 5 – SJS 2——BUF
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateSan JoseBuffalo
10 Mar 202630-26-6 · 66 pts23rd40-19-6 · 86 pts5th
19 Mar 202632-29-6 · 70 pts25th43-20-6 · 92 pts4th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 10 Mar 2026, San Jose were 23rd in the league and Buffalo 5th. By 19 Mar 2026 it was 25th and 4th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

San Jose out-attempted Buffalo 102 to 98

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

San Jose Sharks

102 att · 43 on goal · 3 G · 7.0%
Crease3 att · 0 G
Slot49 att · 2 G
Wing30 att · 1 G
Point19 att · 0 G
Neutral zone1 att · 0 G

Buffalo Sabres

98 att · 42 on goal · 11 G · 26.2%
Crease11 att · 2 G
Slot45 att · 6 G
Wing29 att · 3 G
Point12 att · 0 G
Neutral zone1 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Buffalo have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

San JoseBuffalo
2.13xG for per game3.53
3.72xG against per game2.17
36.4%xG share62.0%
+2.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals−0.6
−0.8GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−4.5

This season: 3 games for San Jose, 3 for Buffalo. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

San Jose

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2621.2% · 16th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2775.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2676.4% · 26th
Faceoffs · 2026-2744.4% · 72/162
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Buffalo

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 21st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.9% · 4th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.6% · 91/180
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
2Will Smith32131.00
92Igor Chernyshov32131.00
72Tage Thompson32241.33
86Noah Ostlund31231.00
22Jack Quinn32020.67
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
42Luca Cagnoni31120.67
5Nolan Allan21010.50
65Jacob Trouba30110.33
25Owen Power31451.67
26Rasmus Dahlin31120.67
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 13 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 14 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

San Jose crease

SJS · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 12 Mar

Yaroslav Askarov.8623 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx −0.8

No appearances against Buffalo in the last meetings.

Buffalo crease

BUF · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 12 Mar

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.7842 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx −3.7
Colten Ellis.9001 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx −0.2

No appearances against San Jose in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.6 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

19 Mar 20265 · BUF 5–0 SJS
10 Mar 20269 · SJS 3–6 BUF
4 Mar 20258 · SJS 6–2 BUF
23 Nov 20246 · BUF 4–2 SJS
27 Jan 20247 · BUF 5–2 SJS

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
San Jose3.004.003.063.56
Buffalo3.333.673.512.94

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.6Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.0Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

12 on the injury lists

San Jose · injuries

Adam GaudetteUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Alex Barre-BouletUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Cam LundUpper BodyIRReturn19 Oct
Kyle KeyserUpper BodyIRReturn1 Dec
Macklin CelebriniLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Quentin MustyUpper BodyIRReturn1 Dec

Buffalo · injuries

Alex LyonUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Conor TimminsLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jack RathboneUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Jason ZuckerAbdomenIRReturn15 Oct
Josh DoanLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Topias LeinonenLower BodyIRReturn10 Oct
4 Oct · SJS

Placed C Patrick Giles on waivers.

27 Sep · SJS

Placed G Ilya Samsonov on waivers.

23 Sep · SJS

Placed RW Ethan Cardwell, D Libor Hajek and LW Tye Felhaber on waivers.

2 Oct · BUF

Loaned D Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL).

1 Oct · BUF

Recalled D Dennis Gilbert from Rochester (AHL). Placed G Alex Lyon and D Olen Zellweger on injured reserve. Signed D Louis Crevier to a four-year contract. Transferred F Matthew Savoie to long-term injured reserve.

14 Sep · BUF

Signed C Noah Östlund to an eight-year contract.

Injury report
#2Ivar StenbergRound 1 · FrolundaLW
#9Keaton VerhoeffRound 1 · North DakotaD
#21Ryan LinRound 1 · VancouverD
#127Brady KnowlingRound 4 · Usa U-18G
Full draft
#4Daxon RudolphRound 1 · Prince AlbertD
#20Ilia MorozovRound 1 · MiamiC
#124Olivers MurnieksRound 4 · Saint JohnC
#156Doman SzongothRound 5 · Kookoo Jr.C
Full draft

Updated after every final