‹FRI MAR 12›
3 games
Early look The full preview opens on Tuesday 9 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings: game preview

Puck drop12 Mar · 7:00 PM ET
VenueLittle Caesars Arena
All-time meetings165 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Seventeen points apart last season

Buffalo finished last season 4th in the league on 109 points. Detroit finished 16th on 92, and the 2025-26 season series went BUF 2-1-0.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 166

Across 165 completed games, Detroit lead the head-to-head 85-69-11.

All-time record85-69-11Detroit's record in the series
Meetings played165This is number 166
2025-26 seriesBUF 2-1-0
Last 53-2Detroit
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
27 Mar 2026DET 5 – BUF 2——DET
15 Nov 2025BUF 5 – DET 4 OT——BUF
22 Oct 2025DET 2 – BUF 4——BUF
12 Mar 2025BUF 3 – DET 7——DET
9 Dec 2024DET 6 – BUF 5 SO——DET
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateBuffaloDetroit
22 Oct 20253-4-0 · 6 pts25th5-2-0 · 10 pts9th
15 Nov 20256-8-4 · 16 pts29th10-7-1 · 21 pts19th
27 Mar 202644-21-8 · 96 pts4th39-25-8 · 86 pts13th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 22 Oct 2025, Buffalo were 25th in the league and Detroit 9th. By 27 Mar 2026 it was 4th and 13th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Buffalo out-attempted Detroit 192 to 168

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Buffalo Sabres

192 att · 88 on goal · 11 G · 12.5%
Crease12 att · 3 G
Slot83 att · 7 G
Wing69 att · 0 G
Point23 att · 1 G
Neutral zone5 att · 0 G

Detroit Red Wings

168 att · 79 on goal · 11 G · 13.9%
Crease13 att · 2 G
Slot63 att · 7 G
Wing57 att · 1 G
Point27 att · 0 G
Neutral zone8 att · 1 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Buffalo have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

BuffaloDetroit
3.53xG for per game3.23
2.17xG against per game2.85
62.0%xG share53.1%
−0.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals−2.7
−4.5GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.6

This season: 3 games for Buffalo, 3 for Detroit. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Buffalo

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 21st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.9% · 4th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.6% · 91/180
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Detroit

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2622.6% · 12th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2761.5%
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.1% · 23rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2753.6% · 97/181
Drawn · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Tage Thompson32241.33
86Noah Ostlund31231.00
22Jack Quinn32020.67
93Alex DeBrincat32241.33
23Lucas Raymond30331.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
25Owen Power31451.67
26Rasmus Dahlin31120.67
72Justin Faulk31120.67
53Moritz Seider30110.33
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 9 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 9 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Buffalo crease

BUF · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 9 Mar

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.7842 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx −3.7
Colten Ellis.9001 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx −0.2

No appearances against Detroit in the last meetings.

Detroit crease

DET · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 9 Mar

John Gibson.9033 GP · 1-2-0 · GSAx +0.4

No appearances against Buffalo in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

27 Mar 20267 · DET 5–2 BUF
15 Nov 20259 · BUF 5–4 DET
22 Oct 20256 · DET 2–4 BUF
12 Mar 202510 · BUF 3–7 DET
9 Dec 202411 · DET 6–5 BUF

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Buffalo3.333.673.512.94
Detroit2.332.672.943.15

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.2Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings8.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

13 on the injury lists

Buffalo · injuries

Alex LyonUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Conor TimminsLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jack RathboneUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Jason ZuckerAbdomenIRReturn15 Oct
Josh DoanLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Topias LeinonenLower BodyIRReturn10 Oct

Detroit · injuries

Carter BearUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Chase StillmanUndisclosedIRReturn9 Oct
J.T. CompherUndisclosedOutReturn9 Oct
Jacob Bernard-DockerUpper BodyIRReturn9 Oct
Marco KasperUpper BodyIRReturn20 Oct
Mason AppletonUndisclosedIRReturn13 Oct
Simon EdvinssonContract DisputeOutReturn10 Oct
2 Oct · BUF

Loaned D Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL).

1 Oct · BUF

Recalled D Dennis Gilbert from Rochester (AHL). Placed G Alex Lyon and D Olen Zellweger on injured reserve. Signed D Louis Crevier to a four-year contract. Transferred F Matthew Savoie to long-term injured reserve.

14 Sep · BUF

Signed C Noah Östlund to an eight-year contract.

2 Oct · DET

Placed F Dylan Larkin on the non-roster injured reserve.

25 Sep · DET

Assigned Fs Ondrej Becher, Cameron Butler, Sheldon Dries, Noah Dower Nilsson, Dylan James, Jesse Kiiskinen, John Leonard, Sutter Muzzatti, Theo Rochette, Dominik Shine and Wilmer Skoog, Ds Ronnie Attard, Jacob Bryson, Shai Buium and William Lagesson and Gs Trey Augustine and Michal Postava to Grand Rapids (AHL).

20 Aug 2026 · DET

Acquired F Sutter Muzzatti from Nashville Predators for future considerations.

Injury report
#4Daxon RudolphRound 1 · Prince AlbertD
#20Ilia MorozovRound 1 · MiamiC
#124Olivers MurnieksRound 4 · Saint JohnC
#156Doman SzongothRound 5 · Kookoo Jr.C
Full draft
#23Jeffrey (JP) HurlbertRound 1 · KamloopsLW
#47Victor PlanteRound 2 · Usa U-18LW
#79Michal OrsulakRound 3 · Prince AlbertG
#108Adam LevacRound 4 · PeterboroughC
Full draft

Updated after every final