‹MON MAR 8›
3 games
Early look The full preview opens on Friday 5 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs: game preview

Puck drop8 Mar · 7:30 PM ET
VenueScotiabank Arena
All-time meetings65 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Thirty-four points apart last season

Dallas finished last season 3rd in the league on 112 points. Toronto finished 28th on 78.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 66

Across 65 completed games, Toronto lead the head-to-head 35-26-4.

All-time record35-26-4Toronto's record in the series
Meetings played65This is number 66
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Dallas
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
13 Apr 2026DAL 6 – TOR 5——DAL
21 Dec 2025TOR 1 – DAL 5——DAL
14 Jan 2025DAL 4 – TOR 1——DAL
18 Dec 2024TOR 5 – DAL 3——TOR
7 Feb 2024DAL 4 – TOR 5——TOR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateDallasToronto
21 Dec 202525-7-5 · 55 pts2nd15-15-5 · 35 pts25th
13 Apr 202649-20-12 · 110 pts3rd32-35-14 · 78 pts28th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 21 Dec 2025, Dallas were 2nd in the league and Toronto 25th. By 13 Apr 2026 it was 3rd and 28th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Toronto out-attempted Dallas 113 to 99

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Dallas Stars

99 att · 55 on goal · 11 G · 20.0%
Crease9 att · 1 G
Slot40 att · 8 G
Wing32 att · 2 G
Point15 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G

Toronto Maple Leafs

113 att · 55 on goal · 6 G · 10.9%
Crease4 att · 1 G
Slot44 att · 5 G
Wing43 att · 0 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Dallas have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

DallasToronto
3.08xG for per game3.40
2.44xG against per game3.21
55.8%xG share51.4%
−3.2FinishingGoals minus expected goals−2.6
+1.3GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+1.9

This season: 3 games for Dallas, 4 for Toronto. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Dallas

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2628.6% · 2nd
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2777.8%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.3% · 13th
Faceoffs · 2026-2755.1% · 86/156
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Toronto

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2721.4%
Power play · 2025-2621.3% · 15th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.2% · 8th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.1% · 113/221
Drawn · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
14Jamie Benn31120.67
96Mikko Rantanen31120.67
21Jason Robertson31120.67
34Auston Matthews42351.25
91John Tavares41230.75
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
57Tyler Myers30000.00
23Esa Lindell30000.00
44Morgan Rielly40330.75
43Darren Raddysh40110.25
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 6 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 6 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Dallas crease

DAL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 5 Mar

Jake Oettinger.9432 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx +2.0
Casey DeSmith.9231 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx +0.4

No appearances against Toronto in the last meetings.

Toronto crease

TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 5 Mar

Sergei Bobrovsky.8872 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx +0.1
Anthony Stolarz.9042 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.6

No appearances against Dallas in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

13 Apr 202611 · DAL 6–5 TOR
21 Dec 20256 · TOR 1–5 DAL
14 Jan 20255 · DAL 4–1 TOR
18 Dec 20248 · TOR 5–3 DAL
7 Feb 20249 · DAL 4–5 TOR

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Dallas2.002.003.402.76
Toronto2.752.753.093.65

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.2Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

9 on the injury lists

Dallas · injuries

Cameron HughesUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Harrison ScottUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Luke KrysUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Matt DucheneLower BodyIRReturn25 Oct

Toronto · injuries

Cade WebberElbowIRReturn31 Oct
Dakota JoshuaAbdomenIRReturn24 Oct
Elvis MerzlikinsShoulderIRReturn30 Mar
Max DomiBackIRReturn21 Nov
William VilleneuveKneeIRReturn31 Oct
5 Oct · DAL

Assigned D Cameron Bertucci to Texas (AHL).

1 Oct · DAL

Placed F Matt Duchene on long-term injured reserve retroactive to Sept. 29. Recalled Fs Arttu Hyry and Colin Blackwell from Texas (AHL).

30 Sep · DAL

Signed G Casey DeSmith to a two-year contract.

5 Oct · TOR

Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.

30 Sep · TOR

Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

29 Sep · TOR

Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.

Injury report
#59Jakub VanecekRound 2 · Tri-cityD
#155Ryan BrownRound 5 · LondonLW
#187Anton Emil Wilde LarsenRound 6 · FrederikshavnG
#197Jasper KuhtaRound 7 · OttawaC
Full draft
#1Gavin McKennaRound 1 · Penn StateLW
#60Alexander BileckiRound 2 · KitchenerD
#69Ethan MacKenzieRound 3 · EdmontonD
#73Zach OlsenRound 3 · SaskatoonRW
Full draft

Updated after every final