Early look The full preview opens on Thursday 4 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild: game preview

Puck drop7 Mar · 9:30 PM ET
VenueGrand Casino Arena
All-time meetings36 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Nine points apart last season

Washington finished last season 12th in the league on 95 points. Minnesota finished 7th on 104.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 37

Across 36 completed games, Minnesota lead the head-to-head 19-14-3.

All-time record19-14-3Minnesota's record in the series
Meetings played36This is number 37
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Minnesota
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
16 Dec 2025WSH 0 – MIN 5——MIN
17 Oct 2025MIN 1 – WSH 5——WSH
27 Mar 2025WSH 2 – MIN 4——MIN
2 Jan 2025MIN 4 – WSH 3 SO——MIN
23 Jan 2024WSH 3 – MIN 5——MIN
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateWashingtonMinnesota
17 Oct 20254-1-0 · 8 pts3rd2-3-0 · 4 pts23rd
16 Dec 202518-11-4 · 40 pts10th20-9-5 · 45 pts3rd

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 17 Oct 2025, Washington were 3rd in the league and Minnesota 23rd. By 16 Dec 2025 it was 10th and 3rd.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Washington out-attempted Minnesota 142 to 100

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Washington Capitals

142 att · 70 on goal · 5 G · 7.1%
Crease13 att · 1 G
Slot60 att · 3 G
Wing37 att · 1 G
Point27 att · 0 G
Neutral zone5 att · 0 G

Minnesota Wild

100 att · 46 on goal · 6 G · 13.0%
Crease3 att · 0 G
Slot36 att · 4 G
Wing40 att · 2 G
Point17 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Minnesota have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

WashingtonMinnesota
2.48xG for per game3.01
4.09xG against per game2.83
37.7%xG share51.5%
+1.0FinishingGoals minus expected goals−0.0
+3.2GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+3.5

This season: 2 games for Washington, 3 for Minnesota. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Washington

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2617.8% · 25th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2788.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.1% · 14th
Faceoffs · 2026-2746.4% · 51/110
Drawn · 2026-274 (2.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (4.50/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Minnesota

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2736.4%
Power play · 2025-2625.2% · 3rd
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2679.8% · 16th
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.0% · 84/175
Drawn · 2026-2711 (3.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
89Alex Tuch22021.00
17Dylan Strome20221.00
97Kirill Kaprizov33031.00
20Blake Coleman31120.67
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
44Cole Hutson21010.50
3Matt Roy20000.00
43Quinn Hughes31341.33
46Jared Spurgeon31231.00
3Olli Maatta30110.33
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 5 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 6 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Washington crease

WSH · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 4 Mar

Charlie Lindgren.9311 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx +1.4
Logan Thompson.9391 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +2.0

No appearances against Minnesota in the last meetings.

Minnesota crease

MIN · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 4 Mar

Jesper Wallstedt.9333 GP · 2-0-1 · GSAx +3.5

No appearances against Washington in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

16 Dec 20255 · WSH 0–5 MIN
17 Oct 20256 · MIN 1–5 WSH
27 Mar 20256 · WSH 2–4 MIN
2 Jan 20257 · MIN 4–3 WSH
23 Jan 20248 · WSH 3–5 MIN

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Washington3.002.503.212.98
Minnesota3.001.673.322.93

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.4Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Washington · injuries

Matt RoyLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn7 Oct
Patrick ThomasUpper BodyIRReturn24 Oct
Rasmus SandinKneeIRReturn26 Dec

Minnesota · injuries

Brock FaberSkullIRReturn15 Oct
Filip GustavssonHipIRReturn1 Nov
Nick FolignoUpper BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
27 Sep · WSH

Placed G Clay Stevenson, D Louie Belpedio, C Mike Brodzinski and RW Spencer Smallman on waivers. Released G Cal Petersen and D Jonathan McDonald from their professional tryout agreements. Assigned LW Maxim Schäfer to Cape Breton (QMJHL).

27 Sep · WSH

Placed G Clay Stevenson, D Louie Belpedio, C Mike Brodzinski and RW Spencer Smallman on waivers. Released G Cal Petersen from his professional tryout agreement.

26 Sep · WSH

Placed D Justin Holl on waivers for the purpose of being loaned to Hershey (AHL).

24 Sep · MIN

Waived for the purpose of assignment to Iowa (AHL) Ds Matt Kiersted, Carson Lambos, and Roman Schmidt and Fs Caedan Bankier, Dylan Gambrell, Justin Kirkland, Tyler Pitlick, and Mason Shaw. Assigned Ds Ben Dexheimer and Viking Gustafsson Nyberg and Fs Jagger Joshua, Hunter Haight, Riley Heidt, Rasmus Kumpulainen, and Rieger Lorenz to Iowa.

14 Jul 2026 · MIN

Signed G Filip Ruzicka to a three-year, entry-level contract.

13 Jul 2026 · MIN

Signed D Filip Ruzicka to a three-year contract.

Injury report
#18Oliver SuvantoRound 1 · TapparaC
#101Tyus SparksRound 4 · SpokaneC
#144Brian McFaddenRound 5 · Thayer AcademyD
#208Logan StuartRound 7 · Usa U-18C
Full draft
#83Adam AnderssonRound 3 · Leksand Jr.C
#112Kayden LemireRound 4 · Prince GeorgeRW
#137Filip RuzickaRound 5 · BrandonG
Full draft

Updated after every final