Early look The full preview opens on Sunday 28 February, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Seattle Kraken at Toronto Maple Leafs: game preview

Puck drop3 Mar · 6:30 PM ET
VenueScotiabank Arena
All-time meetings10 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

One points apart last season

Seattle finished last season 27th in the league on 79 points. Toronto finished 28th on 78.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 11

Across 10 completed games, Toronto lead the head-to-head 7-2-1.

All-time record7-2-1Toronto's record in the series
Meetings played10This is number 11
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Toronto
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
29 Jan 2026TOR 2 – SEA 5——SEA
18 Oct 2025SEA 4 – TOR 3 OT——SEA
6 Feb 2025TOR 3 – SEA 1——TOR
31 Oct 2024SEA 1 – TOR 4——TOR
21 Jan 2024TOR 3 – SEA 1——TOR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateSeattleToronto
18 Oct 20253-0-2 · 8 pts8th3-2-1 · 7 pts11th
29 Jan 202623-19-9 · 55 pts23rd24-19-9 · 57 pts18th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 18 Oct 2025, Seattle were 8th in the league and Toronto 11th. By 29 Jan 2026 it was 23rd and 18th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Toronto out-attempted Seattle 126 to 91

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Seattle Kraken

91 att · 50 on goal · 9 G · 18.0%
Crease3 att · 0 G
Slot36 att · 5 G
Wing28 att · 2 G
Point18 att · 1 G
Neutral zone6 att · 1 G

Toronto Maple Leafs

126 att · 61 on goal · 5 G · 8.2%
Crease15 att · 0 G
Slot38 att · 1 G
Wing52 att · 3 G
Point19 att · 1 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Seattle and Toronto are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

SeattleToronto
2.60xG for per game3.40
3.14xG against per game3.21
45.3%xG share51.4%
+4.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals−2.6
+1.6GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+1.9

This season: 4 games for Seattle, 4 for Toronto. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Seattle

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 20th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2772.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2672.2% · 31st
Faceoffs · 2026-2749.6% · 121/244
Drawn · 2026-2712 (3.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Toronto

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2721.4%
Power play · 2025-2621.3% · 15th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.2% · 8th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.1% · 113/221
Drawn · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
19Jared McCann41451.25
7Jordan Eberle42241.00
34Auston Matthews42351.25
91John Tavares41230.75
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
29Vince Dunn41341.00
62Brandon Montour40220.50
41Ryker Evans40220.50
44Morgan Rielly40330.75
43Darren Raddysh40110.25
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 1 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 1 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Seattle crease

SEA · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 28 Feb

Joey Daccord.9113 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0
Philipp Grubauer.9062 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx +1.1

No appearances against Toronto in the last meetings.

Toronto crease

TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 28 Feb

Sergei Bobrovsky.8872 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx +0.1
Anthony Stolarz.9042 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.6

No appearances against Seattle in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.3 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

29 Jan 20267 · TOR 2–5 SEA
18 Oct 20257 · SEA 4–3 TOR
6 Feb 20254 · TOR 3–1 SEA
31 Oct 20245 · SEA 1–4 TOR
21 Jan 20244 · TOR 3–1 SEA

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Seattle3.752.752.763.21
Toronto2.752.753.093.65

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.3Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.4Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

8 on the injury lists

Seattle · injuries

Jacob MelansonUpper BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jake O'BrienLower BodyIRReturn24 Oct
Ryan LindgrenUpper BodyDay-to-dayReturn9 Oct

Toronto · injuries

Cade WebberElbowIRReturn31 Oct
Dakota JoshuaAbdomenIRReturn24 Oct
Elvis MerzlikinsShoulderIRReturn30 Mar
Max DomiBackIRReturn21 Nov
William VilleneuveKneeIRReturn31 Oct
3 Oct · SEA

Activated RW/C Mackie Samoskevich from injured reserve. Placed RW Jacob Melanson on injured reserve.

27 Sep · SEA

Placed C Jake O'Brien and RW Mackie Samoskevich on injured reserve.

21 Sep · SEA

Placed F Jon-Randall Avon, F John Hayden, F Logan Morrison and G Victor Ostman on waivers.

5 Oct · TOR

Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.

30 Sep · TOR

Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

29 Sep · TOR

Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.

Injury report
#7Chase ReidRound 1 · Sault Ste. MarieD
#38Casey MutrynRound 2 · Usa U-18RW
#99Viktor FedorovRound 4 · Torpedo-gorky NnC
#131Finn KearnsRound 5 · St. Andrews CollegeD
Full draft
#1Gavin McKennaRound 1 · Penn StateLW
#60Alexander BileckiRound 2 · KitchenerD
#69Ethan MacKenzieRound 3 · EdmontonD
#73Zach OlsenRound 3 · SaskatoonRW
Full draft

Updated after every final