Early look The full preview opens on Monday 15 February, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators: game preview

Puck drop18 Feb · 8:00 PM ET
VenueBridgestone Arena
All-time meetings38 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Eight points apart last season

Toronto finished last season 28th in the league on 78 points. Nashville finished 23rd on 86, and the 2025-26 season series went TOR 1-1-0.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 39

Across 38 completed games, Toronto lead the head-to-head 19-15-3.

All-time record19-15-3Toronto's record in the series
Meetings played38This is number 39
2025-26 seriesTOR 1-1-0
Last 53-2Toronto
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
6 OctNSH 4 – TOR 5 OT25–37NSH 1/1 · TOR 1/3TOR
20 Dec 2025TOR 3 – NSH 522–34TOR 0/1 · NSH 1/2NSH
14 Oct 2025NSH 4 – TOR 730–28NSH 0/2 · TOR 0/2TOR
22 Mar 2025TOR 2 – NSH 526–32TOR 1/3 · NSH 1/3NSH
4 Dec 2024NSH 2 – TOR 324–28NSH 0/2 · TOR 1/3TOR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each meeting night

DateTorontoNashville
14 Oct 20252-2-0 · 4 pts17th2-1-1 · 5 pts11th
20 Dec 202515-14-5 · 35 pts25th14-16-4 · 32 pts31st
6 Oct2-2-0 · 4 pts18th1-1-1 · 3 pts21st

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 14 Oct 2025, Toronto were 17th in the league and Nashville 11th. By 6 Oct it was 18th and 21st.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Nashville out-attempted Toronto 324 to 280

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Toronto Maple Leafs

280 att · 141 on goal · 20 G · 14.2%
Crease16 att · 2 G
Slot114 att · 8 G
Wing114 att · 8 G
Point24 att · 1 G
Neutral zone12 att · 1 G

Nashville Predators

324 att · 145 on goal · 20 G · 13.8%
Crease33 att · 6 G
Slot123 att · 8 G
Wing116 att · 4 G
Point43 att · 2 G
Neutral zone9 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Nashville have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

TorontoNashville
3.40xG for per game2.50
3.21xG against per game3.14
51.4%xG share44.3%
−2.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals−0.5
+1.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.4

This season: 4 games for Toronto, 3 for Nashville. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Toronto

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2721.4%
Power play · 2025-2621.3% · 15th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/12 · 25.0%
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.2% · 8th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.1% · 113/221
Drawn · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings12 (2.40/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3

Nashville

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2737.5%
Power play · 2025-2623.1% · 11th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/10 · 30.0%
Penalty kill · 2026-2775.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.7% · 5th
Faceoffs · 2026-2747.6% · 80/168
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings10 (2.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3

Skaters

Auston Matthews has 10 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
34Auston Matthews42351.25
91John Tavares41230.75
91Steven Stamkos33141.33
21Nils Hoglander33031.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
44Morgan Rielly40330.75
43Darren Raddysh40110.25
59Roman Josi31231.00
76Brady Skjei30110.33
47Jack Ahcan20110.50
Defencemen stats

Auston Matthews vs Nashville · game by game

See all: Auston Matthews vs Nashville · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
6 Octhome134425:09
20 Dec 2025away000318:23
14 Oct 2025home202521:31
22 Mar 2025away022320:00
4 Dec 2024home202720:11
Last 5 meetings10 P5 G, 5 A · 22 SOG
Next best7 PWilliam Nylander, TOR
2026-27 season5 P4 GP · 2 G
Blank vs NSH1 of 5
Full game log

Goaltending

Juuse Saros has started most of these meetings

Juuse Saros played 4 of the last 5 meetings with Toronto, with a .885 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 16 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 16 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Toronto crease

TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 15 Feb

Sergei Bobrovsky.8872 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx +0.1
Anthony Stolarz.9042 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.6
#vs NSHAppsSAGASV%
41Anthony Stolarz1254.840

NSH · 1-1-1 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 15 Feb

SV% · 2026-27.9073 GP · 2.95 GAA · 2025-26 .894
vs Toronto.8854 app · 113 SA · 13 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+0.43 starts · most on the roster
vs TORVenueSAGASV%
6 Octaway375.865
20 Dec 2025home223.864
22 Mar 2025home262.923
4 Dec 2024away283.893
Full game log

Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.3 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

6 Oct9 · NSH 4–5 TOR
20 Dec 20258 · TOR 3–5 NSH
14 Oct 202511 · NSH 4–7 TOR
22 Mar 20257 · TOR 2–5 NSH
4 Dec 20245 · NSH 2–3 TOR

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Toronto2.752.753.093.65
Nashville2.333.003.013.28

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.3Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings8.0Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Toronto · injuries

Cade WebberElbowIRReturn31 Oct
Dakota JoshuaAbdomenIRReturn24 Oct
Elvis MerzlikinsShoulderIRReturn30 Mar
Max DomiBackIRReturn21 Nov
William VilleneuveKneeIRReturn31 Oct

Nashville · injuries

Justus AnnunenUndisclosedIRReturn13 Oct
5 Oct · TOR

Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.

30 Sep · TOR

Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

29 Sep · TOR

Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.

6 Oct · NSH

Recalled G Matt Murray from Milwaukee (AHL). Placed G Justus Annunen on injured reserve.

4 Oct · NSH

Recalled LW Yegor Pinchuk from Milwaukee (AHL). Assigned G Matt Murray to Milwaukee.

3 Oct · NSH

Recalled G Matthew Murray from Milwaukee (AHL).

Injury report
#1Gavin McKennaRound 1 · Penn StateLW
#60Alexander BileckiRound 2 · KitchenerD
#69Ethan MacKenzieRound 3 · EdmontonD
#73Zach OlsenRound 3 · SaskatoonRW
Full draft
#10Wyatt CullenRound 1 · Usa U-18LW
#31Thomas BleylRound 1 · MonctonD
#70Dmitri BorichevRound 3 · Loko-76 YaroslavlG
#106Jakub FlorisRound 4 · Lukko Jr.D
Full draft

Updated after every final