Early look The full preview opens on Monday 15 February, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Carolina Hurricanes at Buffalo Sabres: game preview

Puck drop18 Feb · 7:00 PM ET
VenueKeyBank Center
All-time meetings106 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Four points apart last season

Carolina finished last season 2nd in the league on 113 points. Buffalo finished 4th on 109.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 107

Across 106 completed games, Carolina lead the head-to-head 55-39-12.

All-time record55-39-12Carolina's record in the series
Meetings played106This is number 107
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Carolina
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
19 Jan 2026BUF 1 – CAR 2——CAR
23 Nov 2025CAR 1 – BUF 4——BUF
8 Nov 2025BUF 3 – CAR 6——CAR
8 Apr 2025CAR 0 – BUF 3——BUF
27 Feb 2025BUF 2 – CAR 5——CAR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateCarolinaBuffalo
8 Nov 202510-4-0 · 20 pts6th5-6-4 · 14 pts29th
23 Nov 202514-6-2 · 30 pts2nd9-9-4 · 22 pts26th
19 Jan 202631-15-4 · 66 pts2nd26-17-5 · 57 pts12th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 8 Nov 2025, Carolina were 6th in the league and Buffalo 29th. By 19 Jan 2026 it was 2nd and 12th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Carolina out-attempted Buffalo 202 to 133

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Carolina Hurricanes

202 att · 94 on goal · 9 G · 9.6%
Crease12 att · 1 G
Slot59 att · 2 G
Wing90 att · 5 G
Point34 att · 0 G
Neutral zone7 att · 1 G

Buffalo Sabres

133 att · 61 on goal · 8 G · 13.1%
Crease10 att · 0 G
Slot57 att · 6 G
Wing48 att · 2 G
Point14 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Carolina and Buffalo are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

CarolinaBuffalo
3.74xG for per game3.53
2.21xG against per game2.17
62.9%xG share62.0%
−4.0FinishingGoals minus expected goals−0.6
−3.2GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−4.5

This season: 4 games for Carolina, 3 for Buffalo. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Carolina

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2719.0%
Power play · 2025-2624.9% · 4th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2789.5%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.5% · 11th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.1% · 125/240
Drawn · 2026-2721 (5.25/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2719 (4.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Buffalo

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 21st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.9% · 4th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.6% · 91/180
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
20Sebastian Aho44371.75
53Jackson Blake40330.75
72Tage Thompson32241.33
86Noah Ostlund31231.00
22Jack Quinn32020.67
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
74Jaccob Slavin40220.50
25Owen Power31451.67
26Rasmus Dahlin31120.67
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 16 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 15 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Carolina crease

CAR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 15 Feb

Brandon Bussi.8513 GP · 1-1-1 · GSAx −3.7
Pyotr Kochetkov.8891 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +0.5

No appearances against Buffalo in the last meetings.

Buffalo crease

BUF · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 15 Feb

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.7842 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx −3.7
Colten Ellis.9001 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx −0.2

No appearances against Carolina in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.5 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

19 Jan 20263 · BUF 1–2 CAR
23 Nov 20255 · CAR 1–4 BUF
8 Nov 20259 · BUF 3–6 CAR
8 Apr 20253 · CAR 0–3 BUF
27 Feb 20257 · BUF 2–5 CAR

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Carolina2.753.003.612.93
Buffalo3.333.673.512.94

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.5Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.4Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

8 on the injury lists

Carolina · injuries

Alexander NikishinContract DisputeOutReturn10 Oct
Seth JarvisShoulderIRReturn24 Oct

Buffalo · injuries

Alex LyonUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Conor TimminsLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jack RathboneUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Jason ZuckerAbdomenIRReturn15 Oct
Josh DoanLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Topias LeinonenLower BodyIRReturn10 Oct
30 Sep · CAR

Placed G Cayden Primeau on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed LD Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed D Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

2 Oct · BUF

Loaned D Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL).

1 Oct · BUF

Recalled D Dennis Gilbert from Rochester (AHL). Placed G Alex Lyon and D Olen Zellweger on injured reserve. Signed D Louis Crevier to a four-year contract. Transferred F Matthew Savoie to long-term injured reserve.

14 Sep · BUF

Signed C Noah Östlund to an eight-year contract.

Injury report
#51William HakanssonRound 2 · LuleaD
#61Wiggo SorenssonRound 2 · Boro/vetlandaC
#68Zachary LansardRound 3 · ReginaRW
#105Michael BerchildRound 4 · Usa U-18LW
Full draft
#4Daxon RudolphRound 1 · Prince AlbertD
#20Ilia MorozovRound 1 · MiamiC
#124Olivers MurnieksRound 4 · Saint JohnC
#156Doman SzongothRound 5 · Kookoo Jr.C
Full draft

Updated after every final