Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators: game preview
TorontoMaple Leafs2026-27: 2-2-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 32-36-14 · 78 pts · 28that
OttawaSenators2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 44-27-11 · 99 pts · 9thTwenty-one points apart last season
Toronto finished last season 28th in the league on 78 points. Ottawa finished 9th on 99, and the 2025-26 season series went OTT 3-1-0.
Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.
Meeting number 189
Across 188 completed games, Ottawa lead the head-to-head 94-72-21.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 27 Dec 2025, Toronto were 22nd in the league and Ottawa 18th. By 3 Oct it was 25th and 14th.
Ottawa out-attempted Toronto 334 to 236
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 4 games for Toronto, 3 for Ottawa. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Toronto, 10 for Ottawa.
2025-26: 82 games for Toronto, 82 for Ottawa.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Toronto
Small sampleOttawa
Small sampleClaude Giroux has 7 points in the last 5 meetings
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.
Claude Giroux vs Toronto · game by game
See all: Claude Giroux vs Toronto · game by game →Linus Ullmark has started most of these meetings
Linus Ullmark played 4 of the last 5 meetings with Toronto, with a .875 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.
Toronto crease
TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 10 Feb
Two goalies used against Ottawa
Linus Ullmark
See all: Linus Ullmark →OTT · 2-0-0 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 10 Feb
Also on the roster, 2026-27: Samuel Ersson .886 (2 GP)
Full game logScoring rates point to about 6.4 goals
No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.
Scoring rates
Toronto2.752.753.093.65
Ottawa3.332.673.393.00Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
11 on the injury lists
Toronto · injuries
Ottawa · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.
Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.
Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.
Recalled G Marcus Johansson from Belleville (AHL). Assigned D Donovan Sebrango to Belleville.
Recalled D Donovan Sebrango from Belleville (AHL). Placed LW Andre Burakovsky on injured reserve.
Loaned D Hoyt Stanley to Belleville (AHL).
Toronto · 2026 draft
See all: Toronto · 2026 draft →Ottawa · 2026 draft
See all: Ottawa · 2026 draft →Saturday 13 February · the full slate
See all: Saturday 13 February · the full slate →
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