Early look The full preview opens on Sunday 17 January, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders: game preview

Puck drop20 Jan · 7:00 PM ET
VenueUBS Arena
All-time meetings221 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Eighteen points apart last season

Buffalo finished last season 4th in the league on 109 points. NY Islanders finished 19th on 91.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 222

Across 221 completed games, Buffalo lead the head-to-head 113-92-16.

All-time record113-92-16Buffalo's record in the series
Meetings played221This is number 222
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Buffalo
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
31 Mar 2026NYI 3 – BUF 4——BUF
24 Jan 2026BUF 5 – NYI 0——BUF
20 Dec 2025NYI 2 – BUF 3 SO——BUF
23 Dec 2024BUF 7 – NYI 1——BUF
30 Nov 2024BUF 0 – NYI 3——NYI
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateBuffaloNY Islanders
20 Dec 202516-14-4 · 36 pts23rd19-13-4 · 42 pts10th
24 Jan 202629-17-5 · 63 pts7th27-19-5 · 59 pts13th
31 Mar 202646-21-8 · 100 pts3rd42-29-5 · 89 pts10th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 20 Dec 2025, Buffalo were 23rd in the league and NY Islanders 10th. By 31 Mar 2026 it was 3rd and 10th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

NY Islanders out-attempted Buffalo 172 to 167

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Buffalo Sabres

167 att · 86 on goal · 11 G · 12.8%
Crease16 att · 3 G
Slot61 att · 5 G
Wing65 att · 1 G
Point16 att · 0 G
Neutral zone9 att · 2 G

New York Islanders

172 att · 88 on goal · 5 G · 5.7%
Crease12 att · 2 G
Slot62 att · 1 G
Wing65 att · 2 G
Point27 att · 0 G
Neutral zone6 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Buffalo have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

BuffaloNY Islanders
3.53xG for per game2.90
2.17xG against per game3.70
62.0%xG share44.0%
−0.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals+0.3
−4.5GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+4.1

This season: 3 games for Buffalo, 3 for NY Islanders. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Buffalo

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 21st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.9% · 4th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.6% · 91/180
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

NY Islanders

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2718.2%
Power play · 2025-2616.5% · 30th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2783.3%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.8% · 10th
Faceoffs · 2026-2749.1% · 81/165
Drawn · 2026-2711 (3.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Tage Thompson32241.33
86Noah Ostlund31231.00
22Jack Quinn32020.67
10Brayden Schenn31341.33
14Bo Horvat32131.00
53Casey Cizikas31120.67
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
25Owen Power31451.67
26Rasmus Dahlin31120.67
8Logan Stanley30220.67
3Adam Pelech30110.33
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 18 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 18 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Buffalo crease

BUF · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 17 Jan

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.7842 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx −3.7
Colten Ellis.9001 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx −0.2

No appearances against NY Islanders in the last meetings.

NY Islanders crease

NYI · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 17 Jan

Ilya Sorokin.9682 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx +4.1
Semyon Varlamov.8641 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx +0.4

No appearances against Buffalo in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

31 Mar 20267 · NYI 3–4 BUF
24 Jan 20265 · BUF 5–0 NYI
20 Dec 20255 · NYI 2–3 BUF
23 Dec 20248 · BUF 7–1 NYI
30 Nov 20243 · BUF 0–3 NYI

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Buffalo3.333.673.512.94
NY Islanders3.002.332.842.94

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

8 on the injury lists

Buffalo · injuries

Alex LyonUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Conor TimminsLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jack RathboneUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Jason ZuckerAbdomenIRReturn15 Oct
Josh DoanLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Topias LeinonenLower BodyIRReturn10 Oct

NY Islanders · injuries

Alexander RomanovUndisclosedDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Mathew BarzalKneeIRReturn10 Oct
2 Oct · BUF

Loaned D Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL).

1 Oct · BUF

Recalled D Dennis Gilbert from Rochester (AHL). Placed G Alex Lyon and D Olen Zellweger on injured reserve. Signed D Louis Crevier to a four-year contract. Transferred F Matthew Savoie to long-term injured reserve.

14 Sep · BUF

Signed C Noah Östlund to an eight-year contract.

27 Sep · NYI

Agreed to terms with LD Logan Stanley on a 1-Year contract worth $1.5M. Placed G Vitek Vanecek on waivers with the intention of sending to Hamilton (AHL)

26 Sep · NYI

Waived Fs Tanner Fritz, Matt Luff and Nathan Chaffee. Waived Fs Dylan Foudy and Hudson Kuefler for the purpose of sending to Hamilton (AHL).

24 Jul 2026 · NYI

Signed F Alex Jefferies to a one-year contract.

Injury report
#4Daxon RudolphRound 1 · Prince AlbertD
#20Ilia MorozovRound 1 · MiamiC
#124Olivers MurnieksRound 4 · Saint JohnC
#156Doman SzongothRound 5 · Kookoo Jr.C
Full draft

NY Islanders · 2026 draft

See all: NY Islanders · 2026 draft →
#13Malte GustafssonRound 1 · Hv71D
#109Lincoln KuehneRound 4 · Arizona StateD
#141Vladimir DraveckyRound 5 · BrantfordD
#173Artyom MatyukRound 6 · Nizhny Novgorod Jr.C
Full draft

Updated after every final