Early look The full preview opens on Sunday 27 December, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers: game preview

Puck drop30 Dec · 7:00 PM ET
VenueAmerant Bank Arena
All-time meetings126 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twenty-five points apart last season

Buffalo finished last season 4th in the league on 109 points. Florida finished 25th on 84, and the 2025-26 season series went BUF 3-1-0.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 127

Across 126 completed games, Florida lead the head-to-head 66-48-12.

All-time record66-48-12Florida's record in the series
Meetings played126This is number 127
2025-26 seriesBUF 3-1-0
Last 53-2Buffalo
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
27 Feb 2026BUF 3 – FLA 239–29BUF 1/3 · FLA 1/4BUF
2 Feb 2026BUF 5 – FLA 320–42BUF 1/3 · FLA 1/4BUF
12 Jan 2026FLA 4 – BUF 332–23FLA 1/1 · BUF 0/2FLA
18 Oct 2025FLA 0 – BUF 332–31FLA 0/7 · BUF 2/4BUF
12 Apr 2025BUF 2 – FLA 3 SO28–34BUF 2/2 · FLA 0/3FLA
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateBuffaloFlorida
18 Oct 20252-3-0 · 4 pts26th3-4-0 · 6 pts20th
12 Jan 202624-16-4 · 52 pts12th24-18-3 · 51 pts17th
2 Feb 202629-17-5 · 63 pts7th28-20-3 · 59 pts14th
27 Feb 202629-17-5 · 63 pts7th28-20-3 · 59 pts14th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 18 Oct 2025, Buffalo were 26th in the league and Florida 20th. By 27 Feb 2026 it was 7th and 14th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Florida out-attempted Buffalo 359 to 293

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Buffalo Sabres

293 att · 141 on goal · 16 G · 11.3%
Crease25 att · 4 G
Slot90 att · 7 G
Wing107 att · 2 G
Point54 att · 2 G
Neutral zone17 att · 1 G

Florida Panthers

359 att · 170 on goal · 11 G · 6.5%
Crease27 att · 4 G
Slot131 att · 3 G
Wing137 att · 3 G
Point56 att · 0 G
Neutral zone8 att · 1 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Buffalo have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

BuffaloFlorida
3.53xG for per game3.01
2.17xG against per game2.34
62.0%xG share56.3%
−0.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.0
−4.5GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+1.4

This season: 3 games for Buffalo, 4 for Florida. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Buffalo

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 21st
Power play · last 5 meetings6/14 · 42.9%
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.9% · 4th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.6% · 91/180
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings14 (2.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings6

Florida

Small sample
Power play · 2026-274.3%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 19th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/19 · 15.8%
Penalty kill · 2026-2778.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.0% · 9th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.2% · 115/229
Drawn · 2026-2723 (5.75/gm)
Drawn · last meetings19 (3.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2719 (4.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3

Skaters

Alex Tuch has 6 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Tage Thompson32241.33
86Noah Ostlund31231.00
22Jack Quinn32020.67
19Matthew Tkachuk42130.75
20Lars Eller40330.75
9Sam Bennett40330.75
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
25Owen Power31451.67
26Rasmus Dahlin31120.67
3Seth Jones41010.25
42Gustav Forsling31010.33
Defencemen stats

Alex Tuch vs Florida · game by game

See all: Alex Tuch vs Florida · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
27 Feb 2026away112619:23
2 Feb 2026away011122:27
12 Jan 2026home101218:51
18 Oct 2025home011220:22
12 Apr 2025away011220:34
Last 5 meetings6 P2 G, 4 A · 13 SOG
Next best6 PCarter Verhaeghe, FLA
2025-26 season66 P79 GP · 33 G
Blank vs FLA0 of 5A point in every meeting
Full game log

Goaltending

Alex Lyon has been the difference

Alex Lyon faced 103 shots across 3 appearances against Florida and conceded 5, a .951 save percentage against a season figure of .907. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 28 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 28 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

BUF · 20-10-4 in 2025-26 Starter estimate from 27 Dec

SV% · 2025-26.90736 GP · 2.77 GAA
vs Florida.9513 app · 103 SA · 5 GA
GSAx · 2025-26+10.734 starts
vs FLAVenueSAGASV%
27 Feb 2026away292.931
2 Feb 2026away423.929
18 Oct 2025home3201.000

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen .784 (2 GP) · Colten Ellis .900 (1 GP)

Full game log

Florida crease

FLA · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 27 Dec

Jacob Markstrom.9273 GP · 2-0-1 · GSAx +3.2
Akira Schmid.8751 GP · 0-0-1 · GSAx −1.0

No appearances against Buffalo in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

27 Feb 20265 · BUF 3–2 FLA
2 Feb 20268 · BUF 5–3 FLA
12 Jan 20267 · FLA 4–3 BUF
18 Oct 20253 · FLA 0–3 BUF
12 Apr 20255 · BUF 2–3 FLA

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Buffalo3.333.673.512.94
Florida2.002.003.063.37

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.2Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

11 on the injury lists

Buffalo · injuries

Alex LyonUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Conor TimminsLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jack RathboneUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Jason ZuckerAbdomenIRReturn15 Oct
Josh DoanLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Topias LeinonenLower BodyIRReturn10 Oct

Florida · injuries

Aaron EkbladPersonalOutReturn10 Oct
Aleksander BarkovLower BodyIRReturn27 Nov
Brad MarchandLegDay-to-dayReturn10 Oct
Jonah GadjovichUpper BodyIRReturn17 Oct
MacKenzie EntwistleUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
2 Oct · BUF

Loaned D Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL).

1 Oct · BUF

Recalled D Dennis Gilbert from Rochester (AHL). Placed G Alex Lyon and D Olen Zellweger on injured reserve. Signed D Louis Crevier to a four-year contract. Transferred F Matthew Savoie to long-term injured reserve.

14 Sep · BUF

Signed C Noah Östlund to an eight-year contract.

3 Oct · FLA

Placed C Aleksander Barkov on long-term injured reserve. Called up D Alexander Petrovic from Charlotte (AHL).

3 Oct · FLA

Placed C Aleksander Barkov on long-term injured reserve.

27 Sep · FLA

Placed RW/C Cole Schwindt, RD Alexander Petrovic, LD Donovan Sebrango, LW Kai Schwindt, LW Cole Reinhardt, RW Sam Lafferty and C/LW John Beecher on waivers. Agreed to terms with RW Nathan Bastian on a 1-year, two-way contract.

Injury report
#4Daxon RudolphRound 1 · Prince AlbertD
#20Ilia MorozovRound 1 · MiamiC
#124Olivers MurnieksRound 4 · Saint JohnC
#156Doman SzongothRound 5 · Kookoo Jr.C
Full draft
#40Simas IgnataviciusRound 2 · GeneveRW
#48Ryder CaliRound 2 · North BayC
#98Jonas KempsRound 4 · ChicagoD
#168Vilho VanhataloRound 6 · Tappara Jr.RW
Full draft

Updated after every final