Early look The full preview opens on Saturday 19 December, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins: game preview

Puck drop22 Dec · 7:00 PM ET
VenuePPG Paints Arena
All-time meetings231 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Eleven points apart last season

Buffalo finished last season 4th in the league on 109 points. Pittsburgh finished 10th on 98.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 232

Across 231 completed games, Pittsburgh lead the head-to-head 130-82-19.

All-time record130-82-19Pittsburgh's record in the series
Meetings played231This is number 232
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Pittsburgh
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
5 Mar 2026BUF 5 – PIT 1——BUF
5 Feb 2026PIT 5 – BUF 2——PIT
26 Nov 2025BUF 2 – PIT 4——PIT
27 Mar 2025PIT 3 – BUF 7——BUF
17 Jan 2025PIT 5 – BUF 2——PIT
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateBuffaloPittsburgh
26 Nov 20259-10-4 · 22 pts28th11-6-5 · 27 pts15th
5 Feb 202629-17-5 · 63 pts7th26-14-11 · 63 pts8th
5 Mar 202629-17-5 · 63 pts7th26-14-11 · 63 pts8th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 26 Nov 2025, Buffalo were 28th in the league and Pittsburgh 15th. By 5 Mar 2026 it was 7th and 8th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Buffalo out-attempted Pittsburgh 181 to 156

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Buffalo Sabres

181 att · 84 on goal · 9 G · 10.7%
Crease17 att · 0 G
Slot67 att · 6 G
Wing69 att · 2 G
Point21 att · 0 G
Neutral zone7 att · 1 G

Pittsburgh Penguins

156 att · 79 on goal · 10 G · 12.7%
Crease8 att · 2 G
Slot63 att · 6 G
Wing61 att · 2 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone6 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Buffalo have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

BuffaloPittsburgh
3.53xG for per game3.58
2.17xG against per game2.47
62.0%xG share59.2%
−0.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals+4.3
−4.5GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−0.6

This season: 3 games for Buffalo, 3 for Pittsburgh. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Buffalo

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 21st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.9% · 4th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.6% · 91/180
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Pittsburgh

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2740.0%
Power play · 2025-2624.1% · 7th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.4% · 6th
Faceoffs · 2026-2745.5% · 87/191
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (2.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Tage Thompson32241.33
86Noah Ostlund31231.00
22Jack Quinn32020.67
71Evgeni Malkin32241.33
18Tommy Novak32241.33
81Ben Kindel22131.50
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
25Owen Power31451.67
26Rasmus Dahlin31120.67
72Declan Carlile32241.33
65Erik Karlsson30441.33
49Samuel Girard31231.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 20 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 18 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Buffalo crease

BUF · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 19 Dec

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.7842 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx −3.7
Colten Ellis.9001 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx −0.2

No appearances against Pittsburgh in the last meetings.

Pittsburgh crease

PIT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 19 Dec

Arturs Silovs.8862 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx −0.5
Sergei Murashov.9121 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.5

No appearances against Buffalo in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.7 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

5 Mar 20266 · BUF 5–1 PIT
5 Feb 20267 · PIT 5–2 BUF
26 Nov 20256 · BUF 2–4 PIT
27 Mar 202510 · PIT 3–7 BUF
17 Jan 20257 · PIT 5–2 BUF

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Buffalo3.333.673.512.94
Pittsburgh5.002.673.573.27

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.7Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.2Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

9 on the injury lists

Buffalo · injuries

Alex LyonUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Conor TimminsLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jack RathboneUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Jason ZuckerAbdomenIRReturn15 Oct
Josh DoanLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Topias LeinonenLower BodyIRReturn10 Oct

Pittsburgh · injuries

Bryan RustUpper BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Justin BrazeauLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Ryan GravesKneeIRReturn24 Oct
2 Oct · BUF

Loaned D Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL).

1 Oct · BUF

Recalled D Dennis Gilbert from Rochester (AHL). Placed G Alex Lyon and D Olen Zellweger on injured reserve. Signed D Louis Crevier to a four-year contract. Transferred F Matthew Savoie to long-term injured reserve.

14 Sep · BUF

Signed C Noah Östlund to an eight-year contract.

3 Oct · PIT

Activated C/RW Benjamin Kindel from injured reserve. Placed C/LW David Gustafsson on waivers.

1 Oct · PIT

Assigned F Rutger McGroarty to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (AHL).

30 Sep · PIT

Reinstated C Blake Lizotte from injured reserve.

Injury report
#4Daxon RudolphRound 1 · Prince AlbertD
#20Ilia MorozovRound 1 · MiamiC
#124Olivers MurnieksRound 4 · Saint JohnC
#156Doman SzongothRound 5 · Kookoo Jr.C
Full draft
#22Liam RuckRound 1 · Medicine HatRW
#39Markus RuckRound 2 · Medicine HatC
#54Tomas GalvasRound 2 · LiberecD
#86Pierce MbuyiRound 3 · Owen SoundLW
Full draft

Updated after every final