‹WED OCT 21›
2 games
Early look The full preview opens on Sunday 18 October, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres: game preview

Puck drop21 Oct · 7:30 PM ET
VenueKeyBank Center
All-time meetings258 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Eleven points apart last season

Philadelphia finished last season 11th in the league on 98 points. Buffalo finished 4th on 109.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 259

Across 258 completed games, Philadelphia lead the head-to-head 142-91-25.

All-time record142-91-25Philadelphia's record in the series
Meetings played258This is number 259
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Buffalo
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
14 Jan 2026PHI 2 – BUF 5——BUF
18 Dec 2025PHI 3 – BUF 5——BUF
3 Dec 2025BUF 2 – PHI 5——PHI
17 Apr 2025PHI 4 – BUF 5——BUF
29 Mar 2025BUF 4 – PHI 7——PHI
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DatePhiladelphiaBuffalo
3 Dec 202515-8-3 · 33 pts7th11-12-4 · 26 pts27th
18 Dec 202517-10-6 · 40 pts10th15-14-4 · 34 pts24th
14 Jan 202622-15-8 · 52 pts16th25-16-4 · 54 pts10th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 3 Dec 2025, Philadelphia were 7th in the league and Buffalo 27th. By 14 Jan 2026 it was 16th and 10th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Philadelphia out-attempted Buffalo 178 to 158

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Philadelphia Flyers

178 att · 84 on goal · 10 G · 11.9%
Crease21 att · 4 G
Slot74 att · 2 G
Wing51 att · 3 G
Point29 att · 1 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G

Buffalo Sabres

158 att · 72 on goal · 12 G · 16.7%
Crease16 att · 0 G
Slot67 att · 10 G
Wing51 att · 1 G
Point21 att · 1 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Buffalo have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

PhiladelphiaBuffalo
1.95xG for per game3.53
4.51xG against per game2.17
30.2%xG share62.0%
−2.8FinishingGoals minus expected goals−0.6
+1.0GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−4.5

This season: 4 games for Philadelphia, 3 for Buffalo. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Philadelphia

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2615.7% · 32nd
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2773.3%
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.6% · 22nd
Faceoffs · 2026-2753.6% · 133/248
Drawn · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2715 (3.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Buffalo

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 21st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.9% · 4th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.6% · 91/180
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
14Sean Couturier40220.50
11Travis Konecny40220.50
74Owen Tippett41010.25
72Tage Thompson32241.33
86Noah Ostlund31231.00
22Jack Quinn32020.67
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
24Nick Seeler40110.25
25Owen Power31451.67
26Rasmus Dahlin31120.67
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 19 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 17 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Philadelphia crease

PHI · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 18 Oct

Dan Vladar.8632 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx −1.6
Joseph Woll.9292 GP · 0-0-2 · GSAx +3.2

No appearances against Buffalo in the last meetings.

Buffalo crease

BUF · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 18 Oct

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.7842 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx −3.7
Colten Ellis.9001 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx −0.2

No appearances against Philadelphia in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

14 Jan 20267 · PHI 2–5 BUF
18 Dec 20258 · PHI 3–5 BUF
3 Dec 20257 · BUF 2–5 PHI
17 Apr 20259 · PHI 4–5 BUF
29 Mar 202511 · BUF 4–7 PHI

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Philadelphia1.254.253.052.96
Buffalo3.333.673.512.94

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.2Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings8.4Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

9 on the injury lists

Philadelphia · injuries

Helge GransLower BodyIRReturn8 Oct
Nikita GrebenkinUpper BodyIRReturn8 Oct
Rasmus RistolainenUndisclosedDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct

Buffalo · injuries

Alex LyonUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Conor TimminsLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jack RathboneUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Jason ZuckerAbdomenIRReturn15 Oct
Josh DoanLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Topias LeinonenLower BodyIRReturn10 Oct
5 Oct · PHI

Reinstated C Jett Luchanko Barkey from injured reserve.

27 Sep · PHI

Agreed to terms with LW Garrett Wilson on a 1-Year contract. Loaned G Alexei Kolosov to Lehigh Valley (AHL).

25 Sep · PHI

Loaned Fs Jacob Gaucher, Cole Knuble and Jett Luchanko and D Oliver Bonk to Lehigh Valley (AHL).

2 Oct · BUF

Loaned D Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL).

1 Oct · BUF

Recalled D Dennis Gilbert from Rochester (AHL). Placed G Alex Lyon and D Olen Zellweger on injured reserve. Signed D Louis Crevier to a four-year contract. Transferred F Matthew Savoie to long-term injured reserve.

14 Sep · BUF

Signed C Noah Östlund to an eight-year contract.

Injury report

Philadelphia · 2026 draft

See all: Philadelphia · 2026 draft →
#27Maksim SokolovskiiRound 1 · LondonD
#53Brek LiskeRound 2 · EverettD
#62Martin PsohlavecRound 2 · Karlovy Vary Jr.G
#120Marek SklenickaRound 4 · SeattleG
Full draft
#4Daxon RudolphRound 1 · Prince AlbertD
#20Ilia MorozovRound 1 · MiamiC
#124Olivers MurnieksRound 4 · Saint JohnC
#156Doman SzongothRound 5 · Kookoo Jr.C
Full draft

Updated after every final