‹FRI OCT 16›
2 games
Early look The full preview opens on Tuesday 13 October, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche: game preview

Puck drop16 Oct · 9:00 PM ET
VenueBall Arena
All-time meetings48 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twenty-three points apart last season

Pittsburgh finished last season 10th in the league on 98 points. Colorado finished 1st on 121.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 49

Across 48 completed games, Colorado lead the head-to-head 27-13-8.

All-time record27-13-8Colorado's record in the series
Meetings played48This is number 49
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Colorado
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
24 Mar 2026COL 6 – PIT 230–32COL 1/3 · PIT 0/3COL
16 Mar 2026PIT 7 – COL 220–27PIT 1/3 · COL 0/4PIT
4 Mar 2025PIT 1 – COL 433–25PIT 0/2 · COL 1/1COL
10 Dec 2024COL 6 – PIT 227–27COL 0/3 · PIT 0/4COL
24 Mar 2024PIT 4 – COL 5 OT34–30PIT 0/2 · COL 0/2COL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DatePittsburghColorado
16 Mar 202634-18-15 · 83 pts7th44-13-9 · 97 pts1st
24 Mar 202635-20-16 · 86 pts10th47-13-10 · 104 pts1st

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 16 Mar 2026, Pittsburgh were 7th in the league and Colorado 1st. By 24 Mar 2026 it was 10th and 1st.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Pittsburgh out-attempted Colorado 294 to 286

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Pittsburgh Penguins

294 att · 146 on goal · 16 G · 11.0%
Crease18 att · 4 G
Slot110 att · 8 G
Wing110 att · 1 G
Point47 att · 3 G
Neutral zone9 att · 0 G

Colorado Avalanche

286 att · 139 on goal · 23 G · 16.5%
Crease13 att · 2 G
Slot109 att · 7 G
Wing96 att · 9 G
Point62 att · 3 G
Neutral zone6 att · 2 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Colorado have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

PittsburghColorado
3.58xG for per game3.16
2.47xG against per game2.55
59.2%xG share55.4%
+4.3FinishingGoals minus expected goals+7.7
−0.6GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.1

This season: 3 games for Pittsburgh, 2 for Colorado. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Pittsburgh

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2740.0%
Power play · 2025-2624.1% · 7th
Power play · last 5 meetings1/14 · 7.1%
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.4% · 6th
Faceoffs · 2026-2745.5% · 87/191
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings14 (2.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (2.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings1

Colorado

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2744.4%
Power play · 2025-2617.1% · 27th
Power play · last 5 meetings2/13 · 15.4%
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2684.6% · 1st
Faceoffs · 2026-2746.8% · 58/124
Drawn · 2026-279 (4.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings13 (2.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings2

Skaters

Nathan MacKinnon has 12 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
71Evgeni Malkin32241.33
18Tommy Novak32241.33
81Ben Kindel22131.50
88Martin Necas22242.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Declan Carlile32241.33
65Erik Karlsson30441.33
49Samuel Girard31231.00
42Josh Manson21231.50
8Cale Makar21231.50
7Devon Toews20221.00
Defencemen stats

Nathan MacKinnon vs Pittsburgh · game by game

See all: Nathan MacKinnon vs Pittsburgh · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
24 Mar 2026away101219:03
16 Mar 2026home101422:39
4 Mar 2025home022221:00
10 Dec 2024away145317:36
24 Mar 2024home123624:52
Last 5 meetings12 P4 G, 8 A · 17 SOG
Next best6 PBryan Rust, PIT
2026-27 season5 P2 GP · 2 G
Blank vs PIT0 of 5A point in every meeting
Full game log

Goaltending

Scott Wedgewood has started most of these meetings

Scott Wedgewood played 4 of the last 5 meetings with Pittsburgh, with a .918 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 13 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 14 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

PIT · 2-0-0 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 13 Oct

SV% · 2026-27.8862 GP · 2.47 GAA · 2025-26 .888
vs Colorado.8752 app · 56 SA · 7 GA
GSAx · 2026-27−0.52 starts · most on the roster
vs COLVenueSAGASV%
24 Mar 2026home295.828
16 Mar 2026away272.926

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Sergei Murashov .912 (1 GP)

Full game log

COL · 31-6-6 in 2025-26 Starter estimate from 13 Oct

SV% · 2025-26.92145 GP · 2.02 GAA
vs Pittsburgh.9184 app · 97 SA · 8 GA
GSAx · 2025-26+21.343 starts
vs PITVenueSAGASV%
24 Mar 2026away322.938
16 Mar 2026home53.400
4 Mar 2025home331.970
10 Dec 2024away272.926

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Mackenzie Blackwood .912 (2 GP)

Full game log

Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.7 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

24 Mar 20268 · COL 6–2 PIT
16 Mar 20269 · PIT 7–2 COL
4 Mar 20255 · PIT 1–4 COL
10 Dec 20248 · COL 6–2 PIT
24 Mar 20249 · PIT 4–5 COL

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Pittsburgh5.002.673.573.27
Colorado7.002.503.682.48

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.7Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

7 on the injury lists

Pittsburgh · injuries

Bryan RustUpper BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Justin BrazeauLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Ryan GravesKneeIRReturn24 Oct

Colorado · injuries

Georgii MerkulovUndisclosedIRReturn16 Oct
Logan O'ConnorLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Trent MinerUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Zachary L'HeureuxLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
3 Oct · PIT

Activated C/RW Benjamin Kindel from injured reserve. Placed C/LW David Gustafsson on waivers.

1 Oct · PIT

Assigned F Rutger McGroarty to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (AHL).

30 Sep · PIT

Reinstated C Blake Lizotte from injured reserve.

27 Sep · COL

Placed LD Keaton Middleton, LD Wyatt Aamodt, RW/LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and LW Tristen Nielsen on waivers.

27 Sep · COL

Placed D Keaton Middleton, D Wyatt Aamodt, LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and G Mads Sogaard Nielsen on waivers.

25 Sep · COL

Reassigned Ds Domenick Fensore, Saige Weinstein and Christian Wolanin to Colorado (AHL).

Injury report
#22Liam RuckRound 1 · Medicine HatRW
#39Markus RuckRound 2 · Medicine HatC
#54Tomas GalvasRound 2 · LiberecD
#86Pierce MbuyiRound 3 · Owen SoundLW
Full draft
#43Egor ShilovRound 2 · VictoriavilleC
#74Beckett HamiltonRound 3 · Red DeerC
#126Tobias TvrznikRound 4 · WenatcheeG
#128Axel ElofssonRound 4 · Orebro Jr.D
Full draft

Updated after every final